Week Two NFL Predictions

Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill will hope to lead Miami to a 2-0 record with a win over Buffalo

The second Sunday of the young NFL season is upon as, and with it come the standard American Football Focus predictions for each of the 15 games on show. With an 11-6 record thus far this year we're hoping to continue our winning ways when it comes to forecasting the outcome; whether or not we'll be able to is another matter.

Miami @ Buffalo
It's been a while since these two teams have met while both are undefeated, and although it's only one game both sides looked impressive in their upset week one victories. E.J Manuel and Ryan Tannehill both have plenty of questions still to answer about their ability to become franchise quarterbacks; however Tannehill has a better supporting cast around him and as a result the Dolphins and their new "Lazor Show" offense should prevail in upstate New York. Dolphins 24, Bills 17

Detroit @ Carolina
Cam Newton is back for the Panthers in week two after he sat out their week one win with a rib injury. Kelvin Benjamin looks like he should be a productive option at receiver for Newton this season, while Calvin Johnson was as terrific as ever for the Lions against New York last week. The Panthers defense is one of the league's best against the run but if they have a weakness it's at corner, so expect a relatively high scoring game - albeit one that Newton makes the difference in for Carolina. Lions 27, Panthers 30


Atlanta @ Cincinnati
Two more unbeaten teams go head to head in Cincy, with Matt Ryan and Julio Jones doing battle with Andy Dalton and A.J Green in what promises to be a shootout in the jungle. The Bengals defense has the edge on the Falcons unit, although Atlanta have improved on that side of the ball since their disastrous 2013 campaign. I think Ryan is the better QB of the two on show here, but because the Bengals have the defensive edge and look better at running back I'm plumping for a home win.
Falcons 23, Bengals 27

New Orleans @ Cleveland
Even though the Saints were unable to top Atlanta in the Georgia Dome last week Drew Brees and company looked lively on offense, and although they'll come up against a good defense in Cleveland on Sunday they should have enough of the ball to put up a lofty number on the Browns D. There might be the first Johnny Manziel sighting of the year in his first regular season home game, adding further intrigue to a must-win game for two 0-1 teams. Saints 31, Browns 20

New England @ Minnesota
Following Adrian Peterson's arrest over alleged child abuse charges this game has a much different feel, with the Patriots now able to key in on Matt Cassel and the Vikings passing game. Before AP was scratched it was a potential banana skin for the 0-1 Patriots - not anymore.
Patriots 28, Vikings 10

Arizona @ New York Giants
After a 27 interception campaign in 2013 Eli Manning began this year in much the same fashion with two picks last week against Detroit. With the likes of Patrick Peterson patrolling the Cardinals secondary Manning could be in for another rough week, and the Arizona offense is also looking good with Andre Ellington at running back and Michael Floyd and Larry Fitzgerald both excellent options for Carson Palmer at wide receiver. Things could get ugly for the G-men in the Meadowlands.
Cardinals 31, Giants 20

Dallas @ Tennessee
Tony Romo had an, ahem, Tony Romo-esque game last week against San Francisco when he tossed three picks in the first half alone. He should bounce back against the Titans, however, although Tennessee looked good last week on their way to victory behind the arm of Jake Locker. Locker could continue his hot start to the season but in a deep south shootout I'm taking Romo, Dez Bryant and the Cowboys. Cowboys 30, Titans 24

Jacksonville @ Washington
The Jaguars nearly produced a shock in week one against Philly but let a 17-0 lead slip, ultimately losing 34-17. Washington meanwhile were poor from start to finish in Houston, with Robert Griffin III looking as bad as he did for much of last season. I don't think the Jaguars will start as hot again this week, and I also don't think RG III will play as badly especially not on home turf. The Jags will keep it close, but Washington will make it back to .500 with Jay Gruden's first win as an NFL head coach. Jaguars 14, Redskins 24

Seattle @ San Diego
San Diego struggled against Arizona in week one, and things won't get any easier for them in week two as they face the class of the NFL, Seattle. The Seahawks aren't the same machine on the road as they are at home but they still look incredibly tough to beat, although the never-say-die competitive spirit of Chargers QB Phillip Rivers should ensure the home side aren't embarrassed. It's very difficult to see how the Seahawks are going to get beat, but expect Rivers to give it a valiant shot.
Seahawks 21, Chargers 17

St. Louis @ Tampa Bay
Both the Rams and Buccaneers disappointed last week, with neither boasting a convincing option at quarterback and without the quality at other positions to make up the shortfall. I do think that Tampa are better placed to win with defense and the running game, however, and in Florida I fully expect them to do enough to win their first game of the season against a Rams team who look set for yet another campaign of basement dwelling in the NFC West. Rams 13, Buccaneers 24

Kansas City @ Denver
When these two teams first met in 2013, Kansas City was atop the AFC West and hadn't yet lost a game. This time round they're coming off a humbling defeat to the Titans, with Andy Reid's handling of star running back Jamaal Charles coming into sharp focus after he gave Charles the ball a paltry 11 times in the opener. He won't have much chance to run the ball in Denver this week either, not after Peyton Manning takes the lead early and doesn't let up on his way to a convincing divisional beat-down. Chiefs 20, Broncos 35

New York Jets @ Green Bay
After failing to overcome a stout Seattle defense in week one, Green Bay will face a far more forgiving secondary in the shape of the Jets, who enjoyed a solid if often unconvincing win over Oakland last Sunday. At home the Packers should be able to put too many points on the board for Geno Smith to threaten sending them to 0-2, although the New York running game is varied and was successful last week with Chris Johnson and Chris Ivory leading the way. Jets 17, Packers 27

Houston @ Oakland
This far from inspiring match-up pits to teams against each other who were picking in the top ten of last April's draft, and there's a fair chance of that happening again next year. The Texans should progress to 2-0 in the early going, however, even with top overall pick Jadaveon Clowney missing for up to six weeks through injury. Houston's defense is a tough nut to crack and it figures that they should be able to hold the Raiders to few enough points that Ryan Fitzpatrick can guide the visitors to a second consecutive win. Texans 17, Raiders 10

Chicago @ San Francisco
The 49ers host Chicago in the first ever game at Levi's Field, which has already earned the moniker 'Field of Jeans'. It should be a happy opener for San Fran, particularly with the Bears wide receiver duo of Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall both doubtful on the injury report. The Niners looked good in Dallas last week and with the defense playing well despite missing NaVarro Bowman San Francisco should have enough about them to move to 2-0 and keep pace with Seattle in the division.
Bears 16, 49ers 21

Philadelphia @ Indianapolis
The Colts head into Philadelphia for a mouth watering Monday Night Football match-up needing to win to avoid dropping to 0-2, which typically tends to be an almost impossible situation to seal a play-off berth from. Philly were unconvincing against Jacksonville in week one but with Colts linebacker Robert Mathis out with a torn Achilles Nick Foles should have a cleaner pocket to work from this week. Andrew Luck is also set to enjoy a prolific day against a weak Eagles secondary, so expect lots of points at Lucas Oil Stadium. The difference in a game that could go either way might be Philly's strength at running back, with LeSean McCoy and Darren Sproles a constant threat out of the backfield. Eagles 33, Colts 30

Who do you think will win out in week two? Leave a comment or tweet @fredjstanley 

Thursday Night Football: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens Preview

Ben Roethlisberger will hope to lead Pittsburgh to a second consecutive win in Baltimore tonight

 Week one of the NFL season didn't disappoint, with great performances from some household names - and some unfamiliar ones too. Week two kicks off with two AFC North foes going toe-to-toe in Baltimore, with the Ravens looking to bounce back from an opening weekend defeat while Pittsburgh are hoping to move to 2-0 in the early going. Keep reading for a full preview of what promises to be a no holds barred midweek match-up.

When Pittsburgh has the ball...
The Steelers win last week was predicated on their ability to run the ball on Cleveland, with Le'Veon Bell racking up 109 yards on the ground and a score, while quarterback Ben Roethlisberger threw for 365 yards in a promising season debut. Big Ben had three receivers who racked up over 80 yards in the air, indicating that Pittsburgh have a balanced attack that isn't reliant on one individual. That approach could pay off again this week against a Baltimore D that has plenty of holes and struggled against Cincinnati, notably when they failed to prevent an Andy Dalton heave connecting with A.J Green for a late touchdown last week. Expect the Steelers to have success through the air again, while moving the ball on the ground could be more of a challenge against Haloti Ngata and co on the Ravens line. Edge: Steelers

When Baltimore has the ball...
With Ray Rice suspended for the season the rushing load falls on the shoulders of Justin Forsett and Bernard Pierce, which won't fill Ravens fans with a great deal of optimism. Joe Flacco was forced to toss the ball an incredible 62 times last week and it figures he'll continue to lead an aerial assault as the season progresses. Steve Smith enjoyed a productive debut for Baltimore and combined with Dennis Pitta and Torrey Smith Flacco will have to be pleased with the weapons he has at his disposal. The Steelers defense played well for 30 minutes last week against the Browns before imploding in the second half, and although they walked away with the win coach Mike Tomlin will want to see a much more complete effort from the Troy Polamalu led unit. Edge: Ravens

Special Teams
Shaun Suisham had a solid day for the Steelers in week one, nailing all three of his field goals, while punt returner Antonio Brown made a highlight reel play with his boot to the face of Browns punter Spencer Lanning. Ravens kicker Justin Tucker was just one for two kicking last week but the Baltimore return game was on song with Jacoby Jones breaking one kick-off return for a 48 yard gain. Edge: Steelers

Injury Report
The Steelers have a number of players listed as probable, but kick returner Dri Archer has been ruled out. Baltimore corner Lardarius Webb is questionable with the back ailment that has sidelined him since training camp; however Webb aside the Ravens are at full strength (minus the suspended Rice, of course)

Prediction
Steelers 24, Ravens 23

Who do you think will win tonight's game? Get your prediction in by leaving a comment or tweeting @fredjstanley

Week 1 NFL Predictions

Phillip Rivers and the Chargers take on Arizona in Monday Night Football

Having started the season 1-0 after the rampant Seahawks overwhelmed Green Bay in Seattle, here are American Football Focus's predictions for the other 15 games on the week one NFL schedule. To find out what we think will happen over the course of today and tomorrow just keep reading..

New Orleans @ Atlanta
Week one immediately throws up a heated division battle with this tussle in Atlanta between two NFC South foes, with both offenses expected to be able to put up a lot of points. New Orleans defense was much improved in 2013, however, while Atlanta could struggle to contain the Saints high powered attack which now boasts first-round receiver Brandin Cooks. It should be a close game in the Georgia Dome, but expect the visitors to come out on top with Drew Brees lighting up the scoreboard. Saints 34, Falcons 28

Cincinnati @ Baltimore
Another intra-division contest pits the reigning AFC North champion Bengals against the Ravens, who will be without Ray Rice due to his ban for domestic abuse charges. It's hard enough to score points on the Cincy D as it is, so Baltimore could struggle to put enough points on the board to overcome the Bengals, even at home. Andy Dalton is yet to win a game in Baltimore in his young career; that could change in week one. Bengals 27, Ravens 17

Buffalo @ Chicago
The Bills have had a torrid pre-season thus far, with QB E.J Manuel struggling to complete more than 50 percent of his passes while head coach Doug Marrone has fallen out with a number of his players. Chicago meanwhile boast one of the top wide receiver combinations in the league and with Jay Cutler at the controls the Bears offense could have a field day versus a Bills secondary minus the departed Jairus Byrd. Bills 16, Bears 31

Washington @ Houston
Jay Gruden leads his Redskins into Reliant Stadium for the first game of both his and Texans coach Bill O'Brien's head coaching careers. Robert Griffin III could be in for a rough ride with both J.J Watt and Jadaveon Clowney breathing down his neck; however Ryan Fitzpatrick faces a similarly tough assignment and in a close game Washington should just about prevail. Redskins 23, Texans 17

Tennessee @ Kansas City
Andy Reid's Chiefs are the heavy favourites at Arrowhead Stadium, even if they are expected to regress from their play-off campaign a year ago. Alex Smith should continue to command an efficient offense with running back Jamaal Charles as its star, while the defense shouldn't have too many problems against a tame Titans attack. Titans 13, Chiefs 28

New England @ Miami
Tom Brady and the Patriots head to Florida to take on the one division opponent that has occasionally given them trouble over the past decade or so. However with Rob Gronkowski healthy and the New England defense looking improved on last year Bill Belichick's crew should start the season with a win. Patriots 24, Dolphins 18

Oakland @ New York Jets
Rookie Derek Carr starts at quarterback for Oakland in the Meadowlands, where he'll be tasked with the tough assignment of coping with Rex Ryan's varied blitz packages. The Raiders did little to improve over the off-season while the Jets have shown gains on offense with Geno Smith looking sharp in the exhibition season and Eric Decker giving him a legitimate threat at wide receiver. Former Titans back Chris Johnson could also enjoy a renaissance as Ryan's boys start the season with a comfortable victory. Raiders 10, Jets 26

Jacksonville @ Philadelphia
The defending NFC East champion Eagles should have little trouble coming through week one unscathed against the Jaguars at Lincoln Financial Field, although Jacksonville has a chance to be much improved in 2014. Nick Foles could carry on where he left off last season even though DeSean Jackson is gone, thanks to the return from injury of Jeremy Maclin and the addition of Darren Sproles. Jaguars 17, Eagles 31

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh
Browns coach Mike Pettine resisted the urge to start Johnny Manziel in week one in Pittsburgh, which could be a blessing in disguise for the rookie with the Steelers defense sure to pack a punch after a poor season in 2013. Minus Josh Gordon Cleveland will struggle to move the football on Pittsburgh, although the Browns defense should at least keep the score respectable.
Browns 14, Steelers 23

Minnesota @ St. Louis
The Rams hopes for the season were dashed with the season-ending injury quarterback Sam Bradford suffered, while the Vikings will lean on Adrian Peterson as heavily as ever on offense. It might not be a pretty game, but there will be plenty of defense on show and it's unlikely either side will pack enough of a punch to pull away from the other. AP makes the difference. Vikings 17, Rams 16

San Francisco @ Dallas
San Fran head to Big D without Aldon Smith (suspension) and NaVarro Bowman (knee injury), which could make life tough for the rest of the defense with Tony Romo, DeMarco Murray and Dez Bryant a tough trio to contain. It could be up to Colin Kaepernick to keep pace with the Cowboys offense throughout the day, a challenge he'll relish against a porous Dallas defense that hasn't been notably upgraded since the end of last season. Narrow road win. 49ers 31, Cowboys 28

Carolina @ Tampa Bay
Cam Newton leads the Panthers into Tampa in another NFC South contest, against Lovie Smith's Buccaneers. The Bucs defense should be improved with cover-two guru Smith in charge, and Josh McCown will improve the overall offensive output of the team. Unfortunately for the Bucs they'll be coming up against the Luke Kuechly led Carolina defense, which is probably the second best in the whole of football after the Seahawks. It should be a fascinating game, but expect the Panthers to come through as they get their division title defense off to a winning start. 
Panthers 20, Buccaneers 16

Indianapolis @ Denver
Peyton Manning returns to Indianapolis in an attempt to avenge the loss he suffered at the hands of Andrew Luck and the Colts last season. The Broncos may be without Wes Welker this time around but their defense should be improved with the additions of Aqib Talib, Demarcus Ware and T.J Ward in free-agency. The Broncos will be keen to get their Superbowl humiliation out of their minds as quickly as possible; expect them to do so with a home win in week one. Colts 24, Broncos 35

New York Giants @ Detroit
Eli Manning and the Giants have "enjoyed" a torrid pre-season, with Manning and his receivers failing to show any improvement on the miserable season they suffered through in 2013. Detroit had their own problems last year but with Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson hooking up it's difficult to see the Giants defense holding the Lions to a respectable output. Big home win.
Giants 16, Lions 31

San Diego @ Arizona
Phillip Rivers goes head-to-head with Carson Palmer in the desert in a battle of two gunslingers, though Palmer has the advantage of being able to target Michael Floyd and Larry Fitzgerald in the passing game. Ryan Matthews and Andre Ellington will provide the ground options for both sides but if either side has the defense to keep the opposition quiet it's Arizona, who's secondary is led by the all-pro corner Patrick Peterson. Rivers might keep it close, but he'll be hard pressed to get the road win in this tough match-up. Chargers 17, Cardinals 20

What do you think will happen in week one? Have your say in the comments or tweet @fredjstanley


  

NFL Season Opener: Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks Preview

Seahawks receiver/returner Percy Harvin

After six and a half months without football, the NFL season is finally here. The defending Superbowl champion Seattle Seahawks welcome Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers to town in a rematch of the infamous "Fail Mary" game from 2012, in a classic battle of offense versus defense. Here's what to watch for when both teams have the ball, which special teams unit has the edge and how the injury report is shaping up before both sides tussle in the now annual Thursday Night NFL curtain raiser.

When Green Bay has the ball...
Aaron Rodgers status as one of the top Quarterbacks in the NFL is unquestionable; however after he missed six weeks of action last season with a broken collarbone his durability has become a mild concern for the Packers head coach Mike McCarthy. Out wide the battle between Green Bay receiver Jordy Nelson and Seahawks cornerback Mike Sherman will be fascinating, while Seattle's defensive front will have its hands full with Packers running back Eddie Lacy. Lacy gives Green Bay their first legitimate threat on the ground since the days of Ahman Green nearly a decade ago, which should help open things up for Rodgers and the passing game. The last time Green Bay played Seattle away from home Rodgers was sacked eight times... in the first half. If the 'hawks pass rush gets to #12 even half as much tonight it could be a long evening for the former Cal gunslinger, making Lacy's role even more important.
Edge: Even

When Seattle has the ball...
Seattle have one of the more balanced offenses in the league, with Marshawn Lynch a reliable every down back and Russell Wilson a well drilled if not "elite" QB. Percy  Harvin was unavailable for most of last year but with the former Viking now healthy Wilson will have another weapon to use on offense, so long as Harvin's body is able to hold up to the rigours of the 16 game schedule. Julius Peppers was brought in by Green Bay to aid their pass rush opposite Clay Matthews, although it remains to be seen what the former Bear and Panther has left in the tank. If that duo can pressure Wilson it'll force the Seahawks to lean heavily on Lynch to move the football, something that he hasn't had trouble doing in the past.
Edge: Seattle

Special Teams
Packers kicker Mason Crosby has a big leg but a penchant for missing crucial kicks, which could prove crucial in a likely close match-up. Percy Harvin gives the Seahawks a legitimate threat in the return game, although safety Earl Thomas is slated to return punts for Seattle. 'hawks kicker Steven Hauschka is one of the more reliable kickers in the game.
Edge: Seattle

Injury Report
Reserve Seattle running back Christine Michael is out with a hamstring injury, while linebacker Bruce Irvin is probable. 

For Green Bay, there are no injury concerns aside from linebacker Brad Jones, who is probable.

Prediction
Green Bay 17, Seattle 27  

NFL Season Preview: AFC Predictions

Andrew Luck will hope to return to the play-offs for the third successive season with Indianapolis

Following on from the American Football Focus NFC predictions that were posted last week, here’s what AFF thinks will happen in pro football’s other conference, the AFC. Will Denver make it back to the Superbowl following their crushing defeat at the hands of Seattle? Or will it be Tom Brady and New England who return to the big game in search of a fourth Superbowl title. Keep reading to find out…

AFC East

New England

Bill Belichick’s charges have demonstrated incredible consistency over the past 13 years, and nothing figures to change in 2014. The additions of Darrell Revis and Brandon Browner strengthen the secondary significantly, although Browner is suspended for the first four games of the campaign. With an improved D and a healthy Rob Gronkowski the Pats, led once more by Tom terrific himself, should stroll to yet another AFC East crown.

New York Jets (Wild Card)

The Jets should be as exciting to follow as ever this year, with Rex Ryan on the hot seat (again) and Michael Vick brought in from Philadelphia to back-up incumbent QB Geno Smith - for now. Smith actually played well during the pre-season and with WR Eric Decker brought in to give him a legitimate option on the outside the previously stagnant New York offense could come to life, in the process putting them in contention for a wild-card spot.

Miami Dolphins

Last season was a lost year for the Dolphins, when the rookie hazing scandal engulfed the franchise and threatened to see head coach Joe Philbin axed. This all came after an off-season spending spree headlined by the addition of wide receiver Mike Wallace from Pittsburgh. Unfortunately for both the team and player Wallace struggled to make an impact, and heading into this campaign Philbin finds himself under enormous pressure to deliver in one of the leagues weaker divisions.

Buffalo Bills

While many things change in the NFL year on year, others stay exactly the same. As has been the case for a decade now Buffalo figures to be one of the poorer teams in the NFL, with second-year QB E.J Manuel looking worryingly inaccurate during the pre-season and reports of dissent within the ranks rife in the media. The Bills are currently looking for a new owner but whoever takes control of the team had better prepare themselves for a long battle to return Buffalo to respectability.

AFC North

Cincinnati Bengals

Even though the Bengals once more disappointed in the play-offs they remain the class of the division, largely off the back of the play of Andy Dalton and A.J Green. The defense is also a feared unit and in total Cincy are one of the more balanced teams in the league. Whether they can make that next step to become a threat in the post-season is up for discussion, but their validity as the premier team in the AFC North is far less questionable.

Baltimore Ravens

Joe Flacco and co suffered a Superbowl hangover in 2013, thanks largely to the regression of Ray Rice and the retirements and free agency losses that plagued the defense. While the D has had time to rebuild and should be improved this year Rice will miss the first two games of the season after his domestic abuse charge, leaving the Ravens in a similar predicament to a year ago. The addition of Steve Smith out wide should help, however, and despite the former Panther’s advancing years he’s still a good complimentary player opposite Torrey Smith and should serve as the perfect replacement for Anquan Boldin - albeit a year too late.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Are Pittsburgh really much better than they were a year ago, when they comfortably missed the play-offs for the first time in years? I’m not so sure. Ben Roethlisberger is back but the offensive line is still one of the worst in football, while the defense continues to age without replacing the players it has lost during the past two or three seasons. Even though both Le’veon Bell and Legarrette Blount  were arrested on drugs charges recently neither were suspended, a lucky break for both although it raises serious questions about their reliability and maturity heading forward.

Cleveland Browns

Bobby Hoyer has been chosen to start the season at Quarterback ahead of Johnny Manziel, but you get the feeling that it’s only a matter of time (and Cleveland losses) until Manziel takes the field. Josh Gordon has been suspended for the entire year which robs the Browns of one of the NFL’s most dynamic playmakers, but the defense should be strong enough to keep the team competitive in most games. Unfortunately the offense won’t be able to capitalise, meaning yet another losing season for the Browns is on the cards.

AFC South

Indianapolis Colts

By far and away the standout team in the division, Indy should cruise to a defense of their division crown. Andrew Luck enters his third year in the league looking to continue his ascent towards the top five players at his position, while the rest of the team around him improves steadily year on year. The running game looks bare unless Trent Richardson can finally justify his first round price tag, and the defense has holes. But don’t let that persuade you from thinking the Colts won’t stroll to a third play-off berth in a row.

Tennessee Titans

The Chris Johnson era is over in Tennessee, but what will really decide the fate of this team is the play of Jake Locker at Quarterback. Locker is probably on his last chance to earn the trust of the Titans hierarchy, so it could be an important year for both him and the franchise. Tennessee don’t figure to pull up any trees in 2014 but the dearth of good teams in the AFC South still makes them favourite to finish runner-up to the Colts in the division.

Houston Texans

After falling to the worst record in the NFL last season, Houston was able to acquire the freakishly talented Jadaveon Clowney with the first overall pick in April’s draft. Paired with J.J Watt, who was this past week given a contract extension worth $100 million, Clowney should give the Texans one of football’s most feared pass rushes. Brian Cushing is another standout defensive player; however the offense is in terrible shape with Ryan Fitzpatrick and the recently acquired Ryan Mallett set to battle it out for reps at QB while ageing veterans Arian Foster and Andre Johnson appear to be shadows of their former selves at running back and wide receiver, respectively.

Jacksonville Jaguars

In coach Gus Bradley’s second year at the helm in Florida the Jaguars are likely to show some improvement on last season’s showing, although with third overall pick Blake Bortles set to sit and learn for at least part of the season the team is unlikely to compete with the upper echelon teams in the NFL. Bradley has begun to put his stamp on the defensive unit by bringing in his former Seattle protégées Red Bryant and Chris Clemons to play on the defensive line, and if the D can carry the offense for the first part of the year the Jags could surprise a few people.

AFC West

Denver Broncos

Despite a record breaking regular season in 2013, the Broncos Supberbowl humiliation at the hands of Seattle left a sour taste in the mouth and led to an off-season spending spree, particularly on the defensive side of the football. Aqib Talib, T.J Ward and DeMarcus Ware were all brought in via free agency to shore up an occasionally leaky defensive unit, while Wes Welker’s pre-season concussion and subsequent four game suspension for a banned substance violation could hurt Peyton Manning and the offense in the early going. Fellow receiver Eric Decker bolted for the Jets in the spring, so Manning will have to be at his very best in the early going without two of his favourite targets from a year ago.

Kansas City Chiefs (Wild Card)

Jamaal Charles headlines the Chiefs west coast offense going into this campaign, with Quarterback Alex Smith rewarded for his solid play last season with a four year contract extension. The defense was at times stifling in 2013 but fell apart late on in the season, most notably so in the play-off defeat to Indianapolis. Head coach Andy Reid will expect more of the same this year, although he’ll need his defense to play like it did in the first half, not the second, of last season.

San Diego Chargers

Phillip Rivers enjoyed a career renaissance a year ago and that could continue in the new season, although the AFC West is one of the most competitive divisions in football thanks to the strength of both Kansas City and Denver. Mike McCoy earned rave reviews for his work last year and he is unquestionably one of the brightest young offensive minds in football; unfortunately I don’t think the Chargers don’t quite possess enough talent on either side of the ball to make waves in the upcoming campaign.

Oakland Raiders

As per, the Raiders look set to struggle in 2014 thanks to misguided management and a lack of talent on the roster. Derrick Carr is the only rookie Quarterback from April’s draft class who will start on opening weekend but that’s as much an indication of Oakland’s woes at the position as Carr’s actual talent. It could be a long season in the Bay Area for Raiders fans, and head coach Dennis Allen could struggle to see the season out.

Who do you think will fare well in the AFC this season? Will the Broncos make it back to the Superbowl, or will it be Tom Brady's turn to return to the big game? Have your say in the comments or tweet @fredjstanley

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NFL Season Preview: NFC Predictions

Can Panthers linebacker Luke Kuechly help his team retain the NFC South crown?

With the NFL season due to kick off in Seattle next Thursday when the Packers come into town to take on the defending Superbowl champion Seahawks, it's time to look at who'll be competing in the play-offs come January and who'll be on the golf course. American Football Focus will start proceedings by looking at the NFC - can anyone dethrone the "12th Man" of Seattle?

NFC East

Philadelphia Eagles
The defending NFC East champs should return to the top of the pile in 2014, despite releasing speedy receiver DeSean Jackson. Nick Foles established himself in 2013 as one of the top Quarterbacks in the league, and with the Eagles players more comfortable in head coach Chip Kelly's system than they were a year ago it figures that Philly should improve on the 10-6 record that saw them win their division.

Washington Redskins
Speaking of Jackson, the diminutive wideout was signed by the Redskins new coach Jay Gruden in a bid to give Robert Griffin III a legitimate deep threat in the passing game. The Washington offense should improve under the guidance of Gruden, who'll also have running back Alfred Morris at his disposal. The defense, however, was porous in 2013 and it figures to be similarly disappointing this time round with the secondary looking particularly weak.

Dallas Cowboys
2013 was a poor year for the 'boys, and with Quarterback Tony Romo's back playing up again this off-season it could be another long season in Big D. The offense could still be effective with Dez Bryant beginning to fulfill his potential, however much like Washington the defense leaves much to be desired and with Jason Garrett still in charge nothing figures to change as they look likely to battle New York for the NFC East wooden spoon.


New York Giants
Eli Manning is still a bad Quarterback and unfortunately the talent around him isn't up to much either, which isn't good news for Giants fans. The wheels really fell off in the Meadowlands last season despite the best efforts of coach Tom Coughlin to keep the side competitive, and although cornerback Domonique Rodgers-Cromartie should improve the play in the defensive secondary the pass rush was non-existent in 2013. After two Superbowl titles in four years between 2008 and 2012 the Giants could be in for a fairly lengthy rebuilding period unless Manning unexpectedly bounces back.

NFC North

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay returns Aaron Rodgers, who alongside Peyton Manning and Tom Brady is one of the best players at his position in the NFL, and any time you can boast a top QB your chances of making the play-offs are pretty good. The discovery of running back Eddie Lacy gives Rodgers someone who he can hand the ball off to 20 times a game, while Jordy Nelson has developed into one of the better receivers in football. How far this team goes depends on the defense and Clay Matthews in particular - especially with division rivals Chicago emerging as an offensive powerhouse.

Chicago Bears (Wild Card)
Marc Trestman's troops nearly won the division in his first season in charge, but even though they failed to make the play-offs there were positive signs for the Bears going forward. Jay Cutler may not be universally liked but he's been a consistent QB for a while now and if he can stay healthy he'll have the dynamic duo of Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall to throw to. Matt Forte is still a more than capable back, and while the defense is a concern (much like in Green Bay) the offense is high octane and could lead to a wild card berth for the Bears.

Detroit Lions
Is this the year that Matthew Stafford finally puts it together? I'm not so sure, even if he does have Calvin Johnson at his disposal. The Lions also added tight end Eric Ebron in the draft and still have Reggie Bush at tailback, but a defense that  can't seem to put it all together is holding the Lions back. New coach Jim Caldwell has pedigree as the offensive co-ordinator on the Colts team that won Superbowl XLVII, but as head coach in Indy Caldwell saw things unravel when Peyton Manning went down with injury in 2011. Not all coaches get a second chance in the NFL; Caldwell has been given one and he's got a fantastic opportunity to make the most of it with plenty of offensive talent at his disposal in Detroit.

Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings play outdoors at the University of Minnesota this year as their new stadium is completed in time for them to move into it next season, and while the move won't affect star running back Adrian Peterson it could have dire consequences for Matt Cassel, who is set to start the season at QB. The Vikings are more-or-less in rebuilding mode and with the three teams above them all clearly more talented and possessing better Quarterbacks it doesn't look promising for Minny.

NFC West

Seattle Seahawks
Last years Superbowl champs return largely intact, with defensive standout Richard Sherman and star QB Russell Wilson both set to lead the team back to the post-season. The greatest threat to the Seahawks crown probably lies in the form of their division rivals San Francisco, who despite being a good team don't the same homefield advantage and title winning pedigree that the 'hawks posses. Seattle also has an uncanny ability to come up clutch in the big moments and coach Pete Carroll will know back-to-back championships is an achievable goal.

San Francisco 49ers (Wild Card)
The Niners were so close to making it to the big game last year, but Colin Kaepernick's untimely interception in Seattle ended their season in dramatic fashion for the second straight year. NaVarro Bowman's gruesome knee injury sustained in that game sets the defense back a fair bit as he's one of the premier defensive players in football, however the offense remains an effective unit and it would be a massive surprise if the 49ers failed to make it back to the playoffs in 2015.

Arizona Cardinals
The "Ugly Sister" of the top three teams in the NFC West, Arizona actually had as good a defense as San Fran a season ago but was let down by inconsistent play from Quarterback Carson Palmer. Palmer, however, has looked much improved this summer and with Larry Fizgerald in tow he could be primed for his best season in years. If Palmer does enjoy a renaissance then the play-offs are a possibility for the Cardinals, providing the defense (led by Patrick Peterson) can replicate its stellar play from 2013.

St. Louis Rams
With QB Sam Bradford already done for the year with a knee injury this season figures to lost for St. Louis, who despite a number of high draft picks in recent years have failed to be competitive in the NFL's best division. The defensive line is menacing with the likes of Chris Long and Robert Quinn rushing the passer, but offensively the cupboard is bare although mighty mite Tavon Austin could break out in his second professional season.

NFC South

New Orleans Saints
The Saints aren't the juggernaut they once were, but they still have Drew Brees under centre and maintain a huge homefield advantage at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The addition of safety Jarius Byrd in free agency from Buffalo should also go a long way to shoring up a previously suspect secondary, however the rest of the defense leaves a lot to be desired after it's record breakingly poor performances during the previous two campaigns. Keep an eye out for rookie wide receiver Brandin Cooks, an explosive playmaker in the mould of former Saint Darren Sproles who could tear it up on the Superdome turf.

Carolina Panthers
Cam Newton finally matured into a top-10 NFL Quarterback last season and with his dynamic blend of arm strength and immense physical stature it figures Newton will stay there for years to come. The loss of Panthers legend Steve Smith will hurt, however, and after finishing last in the NFL in plays over 20 yards in 2013 Carolina will need to generate more big plays if they're to retain their NFC South crown. The defense is one of the NFL's best, led by middle linebacker Luke Kuechly and defensive end Greg Hardy, making Ron Rivera's unit a tough nut to crack.

Atlanta Falcons
After last years 4-12 debacle head coach Mike Smith will be hopeful of a bounce-back season from Matt Ryan and co as Atlanta attempts to regain its status as one of the NFC's premier teams. Injuries decimated this team in 2013 and if the likes of Julio Jones and Roddy White can return to the field and be as effective as they were before the Falcons will be capable of putting up points in bunches, something they were unable to do a year ago. The offensive line is porous, however, and the defense isn't much better so it'll be difficult for Smith's men to overtake the Saints and Panthers in what is shaping up to be a very strong division.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Former Bears coach Lovie Smith was recruited in Tampa Bay to turn things around after the mess left by former head honcho Greg Schiano. Schiano oversaw an undisciplined and ultimately unsuccessful regime, highlighted by the dire attitude and performance from former first round pick Josh Freeman, who was released half-way through last season. Josh McCown is a solid replacement at QB and Doug Martin has the potential to be a top running back in the league so there is hope for Tampa; it'll take a couple of seasons before they're competitive in the NFC South again, however.

Rookie of the Year - Brandin Cooks, New Orleans Saints

MVP - LeSean McCoy, Philadelphia Eagles

Who do you think will make the play-offs from the NFC this season? Will Seattle be able to defend their Superbowl title? Leave a comment or tweet @fredjstanley to have your say
 
 

6 Stories from Training Camp

Baltimore RB Ray Rice has been suspended for the first two games of the NFL season

With the NFL season just a few weeks away and teams across the United States well into their training camp programmes, here's six stories from across the league as teams gear up for the upcoming 16 game slog:

Eagles Lane Johnson Tests Positive for PEDs

Last years third overall pick, tackle Lane Johnson, is to miss the first four games of the NFL season after he tested positive for a banned substance during the off-season. The news is a blow to Philadelphia and head coach Chip Kelly, who were relying on Johnson to anchor the right side of the Eagles offensive line as they bid to retain the NFC East title in 2014. Johnson struggled at times last year but he still projects as a player who can retain a starting spot for a decade or more - though he'll have to watch from the sidelines as the Eagles latest campaign gets underway.

Geno Smith to Start Jets First Pre-Season Game

After signing former Eagles and Falcons QB Michael Vick in the summer Jets head coach Rex Ryan has named incumbent Geno Smith as the starter for New York's first game of the pre-season. Smith had his struggles as a rookie in 2013 and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him supplanted by Vick at some point this year, particularly with Ryan's job seemingly on the line. However Smith will have first crack on the role, and Vick will have to wait for the second team to take the field to make his mark.

Johnny Football Not the Browns Starter.. Yet

Like Vick, Browns QB Johnny Manziel will also be consigned to playing with the second string in the first round of pre-season contests. Brian Hoyer will start for Cleveland under first year coach Mike Pettine, who has declared the competition under centre wide open. Normally the pre-season is a time for tuning up and avoiding injury - not so for these two pairs of quarterbacks, whose immediate and long term futures are on the line.

DeSean Jackson Picks Up Ankle Injury

Newly acquired Redskins receiver DeSean Jackson is set to miss the first pre-season game with his new team after he picked up a slight ankle knock during training camp. The injury appears to be minor on the surface, but Washington will be keen to get Jackson back as soon as possible as he figures to be a key part of the offense as Robert Griffin III and the Redskins aim to bounce back under new coach Jay Gruden. Jackson's ability to stretch the field is well documented - as is his tendency to cause trouble off the field and in the locker room, hence his sudden release by the Eagles.

Ray Rice Banned Two Games for Domestic Abuse Incident

After being involved in an ugly domestic violence incident, Ravens running back Ray Rice received what many perceived to be a lenient suspension from NFL commissioner Roger Goodell. While players such as Lane Johnson (four games) and Josh Gordon (eight) were punished heavily for drug related misdemeanours Rice was handed just a two game ban for what is, in most peoples eyes, a more serious issue. Rice struggled mightily in 2013 and had what was probably the worst season of a decorated career, including a Superbowl title in 2012. If the former Rutgers man is to bounce back he'll need to do so in just 14 games, as opposed to the usual 16.

Josh Gordon Reportedly Facing Eight Game Suspension

As Browns fans celebrated a successful first round of the NFL draft back in May, topped by the selection of Manziel with their second pick in the process, news broke that receiver Gordon had tested positive for marijuana for the second time in the past couple of years. Originally it was feared he might miss the entire season - as it's transpired it's likely his suspension will be half of that. The knock-on effect of Gordon's ban could be significant: without a top target to throw to coach Mike Pettine is less likely to throw Manziel into a hazardous situation, with Miles Austin the next best option in a depleted Cleveland receiving corps and the offensive line far from reliable with the exception of left tackle Joe Thomas.

Stay tuned for the 'American Football Focus Podcast' and predictions for the upcoming NFL season. Tweet your views to @fredjstanley

Best Three, Worst Three Picks from NFL Draft's First Round

Teddy Bridgewater was selected with the 32nd and final pick of the first round by the Minnesota Vikings

Last night's NFL Draft first round was as exciting as there's been for many years, with the evening full of surprise picks, players falling and trades galore. It may be early days, of course, with none of the 32 players taken having set foot on an NFL field, however it's never too early to analyse the moves made and dish out some instant judgements on the players selected. Scroll down for the three best and worst picks made in Radio City Music Hall late last evening.

Three Best Picks

Teddy Bridgewater (QB), Louisville - 32nd Overall - Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings made the shrewd move to trade back into the first round and select Quarterback Bridgewater after he'd looked likely to slide out of the first round altogether. At the beginning of the draft process the Louisville product had been tipped to go first overall, but a poor pro day and concerns about his physical makeup saw him fall behind other passers Johnny Manziel and Blake Bortles. The price Minnesota paid to move up, just a fourth round pick, was minimal and the selection makes perfect sense as the Vikings look to move on from Christian Ponder in the near future. Furthermore, had they not acted and traded up then Houston would have been perfectly positioned to nab Bridgewater with the first pick in the second round tonight.

Brandin Cooks (WR), Oregon State - 20th Overall - New Orleans Saints

After the Saints traded away Darren Sproles this off-season they needed to add an explosive play-maker on the offensive side, and they got the perfect guy in Cooks. The former Oregon State receiver had an impressive combine showing and he is undoubtedly the shiftiest wideout in the draft process this year. Cooks also offers a threat in the return game and closely resembles DeSean Jackson, the former Eagles receiver who was released and signed by divisional rivals Washington last month. Saints QB Drew Brees will be thrilled to have a new toy to play with in the passing game, and Cooks should benefit from being thrown the ball by one of the top signal callers in the league.

Johnny Manziel (QB), Texas A & M - 22nd Overall - Cleveland Browns

"Johnny Football" suffered the indignity of falling into the second half of the draft's first round, but his slide was Cleveland's gain as the Browns gleefully traded up four spots and snagged their QB of the future, and quite possibly the present too. When the Browns passed on Manziel at number eight they must have thought their chance to land the Texas A & M star had gone but as more and more teams focused on the defensive side of the ball Manziel fell into their laps as they gave up a third round pick to swap slots with Philadelphia. However the price was more than worth paying as earlier on in the evening the Browns had acquired a first round pick next year from Buffalo, who moved up from nine to four to select wide receiver Sammy Watkins. So in effect Cleveland turned the fourth and 26th picks into: cornerback Justin Gilbert, quarterback Johnny Manziel, an additional fourth round pick this year and a first round pick in 2015. Not a bad night's work.

Three Worst Picks

Eric Ebron (TE), North Carolina - 10th Overall - Detroit Lions

Ebron is a good player, make no mistake about that. But tight end is a non-premium position in the NFL and to select one in the top ten when you have plenty of holes elsewhere on the roster is an unforgivable mistake. Brandon Pettigrew already mans the position for Detroit and he's no slouch, so it made little sense for the Lions to ignore the defensive side of the ball where they are in desperate need of help. Their offensive line could also do with some TLC, so Ebron has to go down as a luxury pick from the Detroit management who'd better hope the North Carolina product turns into the next Jimmy Graham or they could rue the selection in the coming months.

Jimmie Ward (S), Northern Illinois - 30th Overall - San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco were at more of a disadvantage than Detroit in that they were picking towards the end of round one. Nonetheless, they ignored a position of need (wide receiver) and decided to take a safety with their first pick when they did the same last year by selecting Eric Reid, who enjoyed a fine rookie campaign. With former USC wideout Marqise Lee still on the board it was surprising to see the 49ers forgo him, with the San Fran receiving corps having come up short in the NFC Championship game in Seattle. Ward has the potential to be a very good safety and he packs a punch in the middle of the field - I just don't think he was the best option on the board when San Francisco made their pick.

Taylor Lewan (OT), Michigan - 11th Overall - Tennessee Titans

Tennessee were unable to land one of the top two tackles in the draft, Greg Robinson and Jake Matthews, and as a result ended up selecting Lewan despite him being a tier below the other two names at his position and tackle not being an urgent need for the Titans. Having lost Kenny Britt in free agency a wide receiver would have been a better play, particularly with the likes of Odell Beckham still on the board. Lewan has the chance to be a very good tackle but the Titans appear to be placing an unjustified amount of faith in QB Jake Locker, while also failing to surround him with good enough weapons on the outside to ultimately be successful.

Who do you think were the best and worst selections made in the 2014 NFL Draft's first round? Have your say in the comments or by tweeting @fredjstanley. 




 

NFL Draft 2014: A UK Viewing Guide

Kansas City selected Eric Fisher first overall in the 2013 NFL Draft. Who will go number one this year?

With just over 24 hours until the 2014 NFL Draft gets underway, it's time to decide how you'll enjoy the event if you're living in the unfriendly UK television timezone. The draft will commence at around 1 a.m in Western Europe, so if you want to soak in the full viewing experience make sure you first read this handy guide.

Where to Watch

Sky Sports have been at the forefront of American Football coverage in the UK for over a decade now and thankfully for Sky subscribers they are airing the first day of the draft live and in its entirety. Make sure you tune in, at any time from 10 p.m onwards, to experience the build up and the draft itself as the Sky Sports experts analyse the 32 picks made in round one. If you aren't a Sky Sports customer then you'll struggle to get the full draft experience - however you can stream the draft live from NFL.com although you'll require an excellent internet connection due to the millions of people from around the globe who'll be trying to do the exact same thing.

Keeping Up to Date With the Picks

Watching the draft on television is great and everything, but if you're a real draft freak you'll want to keep abreast of who's already been selected and which teams are on the clock next. You can do so by once again heading to NFL.com and clicking on their live draft tracker, which details who was selected at each pick as well as offering useful information on draft day trades, draft prospects remaining in the process and highlights of the draftees in action. For a more opinionated take on the draft day events head to ProFootballTalk.com where they'll break down each selection and trade, offering their expert opinion in the process. Make sure you're active on twitter too - follow the likes of Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) for up to the minute news from New York as the draft unfolds.

It's Better With Friends

Sure, the draft is entertaining to watch on your own if you're an NFL fanatic and your team has a high selection. But once they've made their choice you'll want someone to rant at, be happy with or analyse the rest of the selections made by the other 31 franchises as the night progresses. With up to ten minutes between picks there can be some slow moments during the draft and if you want to avoid falling asleep in the wee hours of Friday morning try and persuade a fellow NFL fan, or even an NFL newbie, to watch the annual event with you in the comfort of your living room. If they need persuading then don't hesitate to rustle up some snacks or get some drinks in - like an actual NFL game the draft is littered with ad breaks so you'll have plenty of time to make the journey to and from the kitchen.

Do Your Homework

Last but not least: clue up! Before the draft gets underway have a look around the internet for as many draft related articles and mock drafts as you can find. The evening will be much more enjoyable and you'll feel far more knowledgeable if you do some research and find out who the 'can't miss' prospects and draft day sleepers are, plus you'll be less likely to utter "who?" when Jadaveon Clowney is taken in the first five picks. Highlight packages of all of the prospects are available on NFL.com and YouTube so if you're more visually inclined take a peek at the potential draftees in action, and give yourself an edge over your other NFL supporting pals.

Be sure to follow @fredjstanley for live tweets of the draft, and feel free to leave a comment here if you've got something to say about the event

American Football Focus Podcast - Off-season Special 14/04/14

Will Jadaveon Clowney be the first overall pick in this years NFL Draft?

The latest installment of the American Football Focus podcast is up, and you can listen to it here. I'm joined by Alex Mohammed and Scott Taylor to discuss the players who changed teams during free agency, as well as offering our predictions for the first ten picks of next months NFL Draft. You can have your say on any of the topics in the podcast by leaving a comment, or drop me a tweet @fredjstanley.