Week 12 NFL Predictions

Aaron Rodgers has set a blistering pace for Green Bay in recent weeks

It's Sunday, which can only mean one thing... NFL! With the season nearing the stretch run and the calendar about to flip to December every game counts, so to find out what Fred Stanley Sport thinks will unfold across the league this weekend keep it right here.

Cleveland @ Atlanta
Amazingly, with a 6-4 record the Browns sit last in the AFC North, while the Falcons lead the NFC South with a 4-6 record. Cleveland are still well in the play-off hunt, however, and with Josh Gordon returning from his 10 game suspension the Browns are well positioned to move to 7-4 and work their way back to the top of the division. Atlanta has plenty of holes on the roster and despite winning their past two games they could well struggle against an efficient Cleveland unit that should be able to put pressure on Falcons QB Matt Ryan all day. Browns 20, Falcons 10

Tampa Bay @ Chicago
The Bears ended their torrid losing streak last week with a hard-fought win over the Vikings at Soldier Field, in the process keeping their slim play-off chances alive. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, have been one of the worst teams in the NFL as they've compiled a 2-8 record. However, the Buccaneers are incredibly just two games out of first place, and they'll fancy their chances of going to Chicago and earning their third win of the year. Unfortunately for Lovie Smith's men I can't see that unfolding, in large part because their cornerback's stand little chance of being able to contain Bears receivers Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery. Expect Chicago to edge closer to .500.
Buccaneers 17, Bears 28

Cincinnati @ Houston
Texans QB Ryan Mallett was effective in his first NFL start last week, a win over the Browns in Cleveland, while Bengals passer Andy Dalton rebounded from his disastrous performance against the Browns in week 10 with a steady showing in New Orleans. With both teams coming off wins this game figures to be keenly contested, and both teams have the kind of ground games that can control the clock. I like Houston's pass rush more, however, and with home-field advantage also on their side I expect the Texans to move to 6-5 and put pressure on the Colts in the AFC South.
Bengals 21, Texans 24

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
Andrew Luck stayed true to form last week when he underperformed against an elite team, this time New England (against whom Luck is 0-3 in his young career), but his play against mediocre teams has never been in question, which bodes well for this week against the Jaguars. Jacksonville have shown flashes of being capable this season but they are simply too inexperienced (they have the youngest average age of any team in the NFL) to pull up any trees against a skilled team like the Colts. The Jaguars haven't laid down for anyone under head coach Gus Bradley, which is admirable. However, that's unlikely to translate into a win this Sunday. Jaguars 23, Colts 33

Green Bay @ Minnesota
Green Bay were simply ruthless in dispatching Philadelphia this week, and while the Eagles were disappointing at Lambeau Field the Packers play on offense was simply breathtaking. With the Vikings unable to call on Adrian Peterson again this week expect a similar result in Minnesota, with Aaron Rodgers leading Green Bay towards the NFC North title and a play-off berth.
Packers 30, Vikings 16

Detroit @ New England
The Lions travel to New England in the second leg of a tough two game stretch, after they came up short in Arizona in week 11. Matthew Stafford struggled in a big way and the Lions offense was unable to move the ball with any regularity, something that Patriots coach Bill Belichick will be acutely aware of as he game-plans for this evening's game. Tom Brady will face a tough test in the league leading Lions defense, but with a balanced attack and Rob Gronkowski in fine form Brady and Belichick should earn a crucial home win. Lions 17, Patriots 21

Tennessee @ Philadelphia
Philadelphia will welcome the Titans to Lincoln Financial Field as they get the perfect opportunity to erase the memory of last weeks hammering at the hands of the Packers. Mark Sanchez followed his excellent showing against Carolina in week 10 with a dud seven days ago, but he's likely to revert to "Good Sanchez" this evening against the porous Titans defense. Philly may not be an elite team, but they should take care of business at home against one of the worst teams in the NFL.
Titans 17, Eagles 27

St. Louis @ San Diego
These two teams are heading in opposite directions, with the Chargers faltering after a fast start while the Rams have beaten San Francisco, Seattle and Denver in recent weeks. San Diego QB Phillip Rivers is carrying a significant rib injury and that doesn't bode well as he readies to face the tenacious Rams pass rush, which leads me to predict a road win for the St. Louis, who may be the best team below .500 in football. The Chargers, meanwhile, have seen their season fall apart at the seams.
Rams 20, Chargers 16

Arizona @ Seattle
For Seattle this game truly is a must win, as defeat would see them slip four games behind the Cardinals in the NFC West with just five games left to play. Their home-field advantage is well documented, but they're carrying injuries and lack play-makers on offense besides the evergreen Marshawn Lynch. One thing in their favour, however, is the Cardinals loss of Carson Palmer to a season ending knee injury, and with the Seahawks in desperation mode I think that significant loss will be just enough to prevent Arizona from pulling further ahead of the reigning champs.
Cardinals 13, Seahawks 16

Miami @ Denver
The Dolphins are coming off a mini-bye after they defeated Buffalo two Thursday's ago, and they'll be encouraged by Denver's loss in St. Louis last Sunday. Peyton Manning will be spewing, however, over that defeat and Miami doesn't generate as much pressure as the Rams even with Cameron Wake rushing the passer. The Broncos clearly aren't the same team without Julius Thomas in the line-up, so the tight end's injury status should be closely monitored as kick off approaches. Yet with or without Thomas, I think the Broncos will have just about enough to overcome the upstart Dolphins on their own turf. Dolphins 22, Broncos 30

Washington @ San Francisco
Reports today suggest that if Robert Griffin III again struggles Redskins head coach Jay Gruden has the authority to bench him for back-up Colt McCoy, and with Washington coming up against the vaunted 49ers defense you don't have to delve too deep into your envision to that scenario unfolding. For San Francisco, Colin Kaepernick has been far from convincing, but with a solid running game led by Frank Gore and some veteran receivers Kaepernick has been able to keep the niners in the play-off hunt, and at home against a dysfunctional Redskins team San Francisco should earn another crucial W. Redskins 15, 49ers 24

Dallas @ New York Giants
Even though Eli Manning threw five (!!!) interceptions against San Francisco last week the Giants were nearly able to upset the 49ers, which was a testament to their defensive play and spirit despite New York's season having spiralled out of control many weeks ago. At 3-7 their play-off hopes are all but over, however in the NFC East anything can happen and with the Cowboys suffering through injury and Manning unlikely to be as bad again this week this one should be close. When the calendar flips to December Dallas tends to fold; fortunately for them it's still November, and they'll earn win number eight this evening. Cowboys 20, Giants 17

New York Jets @ Buffalo (in Detroit)
After a torrential blizzard hit Buffalo last week this game was moved to Monday night in Detroit, which probably favours the Jets more than the Bills as they are afforded the opportunity to play on a neutral field. Their win over Pittsburgh two weeks ago shook football, and with Michael Vick under centre their chances of winning have increased massively. Buffalo led briefly against Miami last time out but after they were defeated in that game their play-off hopes took a terminal hit, resulting in this game being relegated to a battle for pride and nothing else. Jets 24, Bills 21

Baltimore @ New Orleans
The Saints shocking defeat at home to the Bengals dropped them to 4-6, although they still remain tied for the NFC South lead. Baltimore meanwhile are half a game behind both the Bengals and Steelers in the AFC North, after some poor performances in recent weeks. After a fast start to the season Steve Smith has slowed down, although Justin Forsett has emerged as a workhorse in the backfield in the wake of Ray Rice's suspension. The Saints defense has been a mess this year after it improved in 2013, and that could be enough to see Joe Flacco earn the victory at the scene of Baltimore's Superbowl triumph nearly two years ago. Ravens 28, Saints 21

What do you think will happen in week 12 of the NFL season? Have your say in the comments or tweet @fredjstanley

 

 

 

Week 11 NFL Predictions

Brian Hoyer has led the Browns to a surprising 6-3 record and top spot in the AFC North

The time has come again for Fred Stanley Sport to offer our insight into this weeks slate of NFL games, and with a selection of exciting contests on the horizon this Sunday promises to be one of the most explosive of an already high-powered season. To find out who will triumph in these key encounters keep it right here.

Atlanta @ Carolina
Amazingly, the 3-6 Falcons are still well in the race to win the mediocre NFC South, as are the 3-6-1 Panthers. Neither team possesses healthy offensive lines, and neither boasts even an average defense. The Falcons, however, have a healthy quarterback and Steven Jackson has shown signs of life as the teams ball carrier. Those factors are just about enough to qualify them as favourites in a game that could catapult them back into relevance following a 2-6 start. Falcons 23, Panthers 17

Minnesota @ Chicago
Adrian Peterson isn't yet back for the Vikings, although they may not need him against a Bears outfit that has imploded in recent weeks, culminating in the Sunday Night Football humiliation against Green Bay seven days ago. Teddy Bridgewater has shown enough to offer Vikings fans hope for the future, and their defense has been pretty good for a lot of the campaign. With Chicago in self-destruct mode, particularly on defense, it's difficult to predict anything other than a road win. Vikings 27, Bears 20

Houston @ Cleveland
For the first time in 20 years the Browns top their division this late into the season, and at home against a Texans team sans Arian Foster they're favourites to retain that title into week 12. Ryan Mallett has been installed as Houston's starting QB after he was acquired during the off-season from New England, which makes the Texans offense a complete mystery in this one with Mallett and rookie running back Alfred Blue in the backfield. That uncertainty, combined with the Browns consistency this season, makes Cleveland the pick to improve to 7-3.
Texans 14, Browns 17

Seattle @ Kansas City
In the pick of the early games, the struggling Seahawks travel to Arrowhead Stadium to do battle with the rejuvenated Chiefs. Both teams rely on a stout defense and controlling the clock using the ground game, and both have "game-manager" type quarterbacks. Russell Wilson is more likely than Alex Smith to beat you in a game, but with Kansas City healthier, at home and on a roll it's difficult to pick against them, even against the reigning champs. Seahawks 16, Chiefs 19

Cincinnati @ New Orleans
Will Andy Dalton improve upon his 2.0 passer rating from last week against Cleveland? Probably. Will the Bengals go into New Orleans and beat the Saints in the imposing Superdome? Probably not. Even though the 49ers did just that last week they have a much better defense and quarterback than the Bengals, who after starting the season on fire have been in free-fall. Dalton may have A.J Green back in the fold but that didn't exactly help him last week, and the Saints are sure to respond to last weeks overtime defeat with an improved performance. Bengals 20, Saints 30

San Francisco @ New York Giants
Tom Coughlin's job is now well and truly on the line with the Giants languishing at 3-6 and looking all but certain to miss the play-offs for the fifth time in six seasons, while the 49ers are just about in with a shout at making it to January with a 5-4 record. I'm not sure they'll accomplish that, but they'll be on their way after a comfortable win tonight on the back of their defense, which could have a field day against the erratic Giants offensive attack. 49ers 26, Giants 17

Denver @ St. Louis
The Rams looked set to upset a third NFC West rival of the season last week against Arizona but they ultimately came up short, and with the elite Broncos on tap things don't get any easier for Jeff Fisher's men. They've gone back to Shaun Hill at quarterback but that won't ultimately matter as Peyton Manning will find a way to get the ball out before the Rams vaunted pass rush gets home, putting up enough points in the process to keep Denver well clear of St. Louis. Broncos 31, Rams 13

Tampa Bay @ Washington
This game isn't very relevant to the play-off picture, but hey, someone might have some fantasy options involved. Robert Griffin III will be eager to continue his return to full fitness and could be primed for a fairly big game against the passive Buccaneers defense, which has been awful for most of 2014. The Redskins are no powerhouse, yet it's still difficult to imagine anything other than a home win occurring here with the woeful Bucs in town. Buccaneers 20, Redskins 28

Oakland @ San Diego
When the Chargers played the Raiders in Oakland they struggled on their way to a close victory, and while they should win again today there's no guarantee they won't stumble with Phillip Rivers and co currently riding a three game losing streak. The Raiders have played hard for interim coach Tony Sparano, yet ultimately their lack of talent has counted against them as they find themselves win-less late into the year. Rookie QB Derek Carr, on the plus side, looks like a keeper under centre.
Raiders 17, Chargers 24

Detroit @ Arizona
The 7-2 Lions face the toughest tests of their season to date with a visit to the desert to play the 8-1 Cardinals, although Arizona is without Carson Palmer for the rest of the year after he tore knee ligaments last week. Detroit has won many a nail-biter on their way to the top of the NFC North, thanks mainly to their league leading defense as they've had to deal without star receiver Calvin Johnson for large portions of the season. Johnson's back this week, however, and it's not hard to envision the Lions scary defensive front feasting on Drew Stanton in a statement win for the Lions.
Lions 23, Cardinals 20

Philadelphia @ Green Bay
In another crucial NFC match-up, the Packers almost certainly have to win at home if they're to keep pace with the Lions in the NFC North. Otherwise, it's the wild-card way or no way at all for Mike McCarthy's charges. Philly looked good with Mark Sanchez under centre last week against Carolina but it's the defense, which forced five turnovers, who have improved plenty as the season has wore on for the Eagles. They won't be able to completely contain elite QB Aaron Rodgers but if they can force the Packers into becoming one dimensional by stopping running back Eddie Lacy then they may have done just enough to win this daunting road game. Eagles 27, Packers 24

New England @ Indianapolis
Tom Brady is 2-0 when facing Andrew Luck in the Colts quarterback's young career, and with the Patriots currently on an imposing roll it's difficult to see that becoming anything other than 3-0 tonight. Even though the Patriots are on the road they possess a better defense than Indy's, and Luck has a history, so far, of coughing it up in the big games. Fact: Luck has as many interceptions (9) through nine games this season as he did during the duration of the 2013 campaign.
Patriots 34, Colts 24

Pittsburgh @ Tennessee
Lets cut to the chase; the Titans aren't beating any half competent team this late in the season. Pittsburgh were terrible last week against the Jets and lost, but New York played an inspired game led by veteran quarterback Michael Vick. Tennessee doesn't have the talent the mercurial Jets do, and the Steelers, who may have been guilty of complacency seven days ago, won't make the same mistake twice. Steelers 33, Titans 17

What do you think will triumph in the NFL this weekend? Tweet @fredjstanley or leave a comment
 

 

Thursday Night Football Preview: Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins

Bills rookie receiver Sammy Watkins already has 5 touchdown receptions on the season

This weeks edition of Thursday Night Football pits the AFC East rival Bills against the Dolphins in a crucial mid-season match-up, with both teams currently well off the pace in the division but right in the thick of the wild card race. With identical 5-4 records a defeat for either would be near-fatal to their post-season hopes, while the victor would remain in the thick of the play-off hunt. Keep reading to find out what to watch for on both sides of the ball.

When Buffalo has the ball...
After E.J Manuel was replaced at quarterback by Kyle Orton the Bills offense improved dramatically, with Orton's emphasis on ball security and more accurate arm helping to bring the best out of rookie receiver Sammy Watkins. Watkins has 617 yards receiving on the season and five touchdowns, a good haul from a first year player performing within an unstable offensive environment. Even though C.J Spiller went down early in the season the Buffalo running game has been solid if not spectacular, with Fred Jackson picking up much of the load. Jackson is unlikely to play tonight, however, with Bryce Brown expected to pick up much of the slack for the Bills. Defensively Miami have been up and down in 2014, with their shutout of San Diego two weeks ago undoubtedly the high point. Cortland Finnegan and Brent Grimes are one of the better cornerback pairings in the NFL for Miami, while Cameron Wake is an outstanding pass rusher who already has 8.5 sacks on the season.
Edge: Miami

When Miami has the ball...
After putting up 37 points against the Chargers Ryan Tannehill and the Dolphins offense came crashing back to earth against Detroit's elite defense, registering just 16 points. Tannehill has shown great improvement this season after some inconsistent play in previous years, however rumoured tensions between offensive co-ordinator Bill Lazor and several senior offensive players don't bode well as the season reaches a critical stage. Knowshon Moreno was lost for the season early on, meaning the rushing load has fallen on Lamar Miller's shoulders. Miller was hobbled for the game in Detroit, however, which limited both his and the Dolphins overall offensive production. The Buffalo defense has quietly emerged as one of the best in the league, with a pass rush led by all-pro defensive tackle Marcell Dareus and former number one overall pick Mario Williams, plus a secondary boasting ball-hawk Leodis McKelvin.
Edge: Bills

Special Teams
Bills kicker Dan Carpenter is reliable and one of the best legs in the league, while the Buffalo return game was hurt when star kick returner Spiller went down for the year. Caleb Sturgis has been accurate when kicking from within 40 yards for Miami, but his accuracy has dipped from longer distance as he's made just 5 of 8 attempts. Dolphins return man Jarvis Landry has given Miami good field position on a consistent basis.
Edge: Even

Injury Report
Running back Fred Jackson is questionable for the Bills, while rookie wideout Sammy Watkins is probable to play. For Miami, quarterback Ryan Tannehill and running back Lamar Miller are both probable, while talented tight end Charles Clay is questionable with a knee injury.

Prediction
Bills 19, Dolphins 18

Who do you think will win tonight's TNF match-up? Tweet @fredjstanley with your opinion or leave a comment

Week 10 NFL Predictions

Ben Roethlisberger has thrown 12 touchdown passes over his past two games

The tenth Sunday of the NFL season is upon us, which means it's time for American Football Focus to make our predictions for the upcoming action over the next two days. Play-off races are in full swing, making each game as crucial as ever as teams gear up for the stretch run as they jockey for position heading into December. To find out what we think will transpire this weekend keep it right here.

Tennessee @ Baltimore
The two-win Titans travel to Baltimore to take on the Ravens, who have slipped recently in recent weeks as they've been overtaken in the AFC North by the surging Steelers. However they should be able to achieve victory against Tennessee, who appear to be in rebuilding mode for what feels like the tenth season in a row. Expect Joe Flacco, Justin Forsett and Steve Smith to put more than enough points on the board as the Ravens move to 6-4 and keep their play-off hopes alive.
Titans 14, Ravens 28

Kansas City @ Buffalo
The Chiefs travel to Buffalo to take on the Bills in a match-up between two surprisingly competitive teams. Kansas City have rebounded from a disastrous start to the season to the point where they may be one of the best six teams in the AFC, while Buffalo's decision to move from E.J Manuel to Kyle Orton at quarterback may have saved their season from nose diving. However without Fred Jackson and Sammy Watkins the Bills will find it difficult to score points on offense, especially with the KC defensive front wreaking havoc on opposing offensive lines. Road win. Chiefs 21, Bills 13

Miami @ Detroit
The Lions are fresh off their bye following an unconvincing win in London over the Falcons, while Miami comes in hot after destroying San Diego 37-0. The Dolphins are probably better than most people realise, particularly on offense where offensive co-ordinator Bill Lazor has helped Ryan Tannehill develop into a reliable and potentially game-changing double threat quarterback. Detroit, on the other hand, are perhaps slightly overrated and could have, or even should have, lost to Atlanta two weeks ago. However they welcome Calvin Johnson and Reggie Bush back into the fold this evening, and their defensive front matches up well with the Dolphins offensive line, so I'm plumping for a home win. Dolphins 21, Lions 27

Dallas @ Jacksonville
The Cowboys travel to London for the third Wembley game of the season, and fortunately for the 'boys they should welcome star quarterback Tony Romo back to the starting lineup. The Jaguars have been occasionally competitive this season and perhaps the trip across the pond will inspire them to cause an unlikely upset - although it's far more likely that DeMarco Murray and Romo will lead Dallas to a bounce-back victory after they were defeated in big D by Arizona last week.
Cowboys 30, Jaguars 14

San Francisco @ New Orleans
The 49ers are 4-4 halfway through their schedule, and unfortunately for niners fans their record is justified as they've produced a string of mediocre performances. Good defensive co-ordinators have game planned for Colin Kaepernick effectively, keeping San Frans #7 in the pocket and forcing him to throw the ball. Whether or not Rob Ryan and the Saints D have that kind of performance in them remains to be seen, but they're near enough unbeatable in the Superdome as they showed last week against Green Bay, and the 49ers defense will have its work cut out to stop Drew Brees, Mark Ingram and the Saints high octane offense. 49ers 24, Saints 33

Pittsburgh @ New York Jets
Ben Roethlisberger has thrown 12 touchdown passes in the past two weeks, and he'll fancy adding significantly to that total this evening versus the Jets porous secondary. The change at QB made by Rex Ryan made little impact to the Jets fortunes last week, and while Michael Vick is a better bet than Geno Smith he can't play defense. New York are 1-8 for a reason; equally Pittsburgh are top of the tough AFC North for a reason. It could get ugly in MetLife Stadium as Big Ben hammers another nail in Ryan's coffin. Steelers 31, Jets 16

Atlanta @ Tampa Bay
The last time these two teams met Atlanta dropped 56 points on Love Smith's defense, and while the Falcons haven't won since then they'll still fancy their chances against the one win Buccaneers. Smith has turned back to Josh McCown at QB at the expense of Mike Glennon, but the lack of a serviceable running game has hurt Tampa Bay all season as they home in on a top five pick in next April's draft.
Falcons 24, Buccaneers 13

Denver @ Oakland
This might be the biggest mismatch of the NFL season, with Peyton Manning and the Broncos taking on the lowly Raiders in Oakland. The Raiders have little going for them on either side of the ball and they're yet to win this season, although they have fought valiantly since Tony Sparano took over as the teams temporary head coach. It's unlikely to matter how hard they fight this week, however, as Manning looks to extend his all-time touchdown passing record.
Broncos 35, Raiders 14

St. Louis @ Arizona
Having already beaten Seattle and San Francisco, the Rams seek the NFC West trifecta in the desert as they take on the 7-1 Cardinals. At 3-5 St. Louis's season is as good as over, although they still have pride to play for and are well within touching distance of the 49ers and Seahawks in the division. The upstart Cardinals should have too much for St. Louis in this encounter,  however, particularly with Carson Palmer excelling in their vertical offense. Rams 17, Cardinals 24

New York Giants @ Seattle
The Giants visit Seattle in a game that could go a long way towards determining head coach Tom Coughlin's future. Win and his team maintains a chance of making the play-offs; lose and their season is as good as over and the G-men will have missed the post-season for the fifth time in six years. Seattle don't have the weapons on offense to unduly trouble the Giants defense, although Marshawn Lynch looked back to his best last week versus Oakland. It promises to be a low scoring tussle in the north west, and with Seattle banged up and New York on their last chance I smell an upset in the offering. Giants 17, Seahawks 16

Chicago @ Green Bay
Chicago have been one of the more disappointing teams in the NFL this season, with rumours of infighting plaguing them on their way to a mediocre 3-5 record. Things don't get any easier for them this week as they attempt to beat their great rival Packers in Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers looks to have overcome the hamstring strain he sustained last week in New Orleans, which is ominous for the talent-challenged Bears D. Bears 21, Packers 34

Carolina @ Philadelphia
Cam Newton leads the Panthers into Philadelphia for Monday Night Football, with the Eagles now turning to Mark Sanchez under centre after Nick Foles broke his collarbone in Houston last week. The drop off from Foles to Sanchez was minimal last week and if the same is true tomorrow night the Eagles should come out on top in this NFC battle. More notably, the Panthers run defense has been one of the NFL's worst this season and LeSean McCoy has looked better and better as the season has worn on, which doesn't bode well for Ron Rivera's men. Panthers 24, Eagles 28

What do you think will happen in week 10 of the NFL season? Leave a comment or tweet @fredjstanley to have your say.

Thursday Night Football Preview: New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers

Rookie Saints receiver Brandin Cooks scored twice last week against Green Bay

It's week nine of the NFL season, and the stakes are high as two NFC South rivals get set to do battle in prime-time on Thursday Night Football. Carolina currently lead the division with a 3-4-1 record, while the Saints sit just behind them at 3-4. As you can tell, despite neither team enjoying a good start to the campaign they're both well in the hunt for a post-season berth at the mid-point despite their lack of wins early on. Keep it right here to find out who has the edge in this evening's contest.

When New Orleans has the ball...
The Saints have struggled to post the lofty points totals they're accustomed to in 2014, although that changed somewhat at the weekend when they dropped 44 points on the Green Bay Packers. First round pick Brandin Cooks finally broke out with a pair of touchdowns, one through the air and one on the ground, while Jimmy Graham also scored for the first time in nearly a month after a shoulder injury had relegated him to merely being a decoy. Carolina boasted one of the leagues top defenses a year ago but that is no longer the case; linebacker Luke Kuechly's play has dropped off slightly (although he is still one of the top players in the NFL at his position), while the loss of Greg Hardy on domestic abuse charges has stung the pass rush. The Panthers run defense has suffered more than any part of the unit, however, which means that Saints running back Mark Ingram could enjoy a successful outing. Edge: New Orleans

When Carolina has the ball...
It's all about Cam Newton when it comes to the Panthers offense, both with his legs and with his arm, but unfortunately for Carolina Newton's rib injury has limited his effectiveness in both areas so far this season. He's thrown for just 8 touchdowns through eight games, while his one rushing touchdown is way down on his normal productivity on the ground. Injuries to running backs Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams have also hit the offense hard, although rookie wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin has been a bright spot and his combination of good hands and great size make him a match-up nightmare for opposing defenses. Defensively New Orleans have been poor, with acclaimed free agent addition Jarius Byrd proving ineffective before he went down for the season with an injury. Edge: Even

Special Teams
Saints kicker Shayne Graham has missed just one kick this season and has been as steady as usual, although he lacks elite leg strength. Graham Gano has also been productive for the Panthers, although he's missed one more kick than Graham. Philly Brown, Carolina's punt returner, is the only player from either side to score a special teams touchdown in 2014.

Injury Report
Panthers punt returner Brown is out with a concussion, while running back DeAngelo Williams is set to play. For New Orleans running back Pierre Thomas is out, as is linebacker David Hawthorne. TE Jimmy Graham is set to play, while halfback Khiry Robinson is questionable with a forearm injury.

Prediction
Saints 30, Panthers 20

Thursday Night Football Preview: San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos

Broncos TE Julius Thomas has evolved into a top flight player under Peyton Manning

The NFL heads west tonight for the eighth Thursday Night Football match-up of the season, with the AFC West leading Denver Broncos (5-1) hosting the 5-2 San Diego Chargers. Both teams have looked good in the early going but a loss here for either side would significantly decrease their chances of winning the division and earning a bye in the play-offs. To find out what to keep an eye on as the action unfolds scroll on down.

When San Diego has the ball...
Phillip Rivers is enjoying a career season for the Chargers, throwing 17 touchdowns to just three interceptions while posting a passer rating of 113, making him a prime candidate to win a first MVP award if he can continue his purple patch. Branden Oliver, an undrafted rookie, has taken over as the teams primary running back following injuries to Danny Woodhead and Ryan Matthews, and while Matthews is expected to return soon Oliver has been a revelation in the backfield. Antonio Gates has enjoyed a resurgence following a couple of down years at the tight end position, and he's once more become Rivers favourite red zone target as his seven touchdown receptions would suggest. The Broncos beefed up their defense in the summer and the moves have paid off handsomely, with Aqib Talib proving to be a lock-down corner on the outside while former Cowboy DeMarcus Ware has been a menace when rushing the passer. Ware recorded three sacks of 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick on Sunday night and Von Miller has also been a threat to opposing passers, bringing the QB down eight times in just six games.
Edge: Even

When Denver has the ball...
There's not a lot left to be said about Peyton Manning after he broke the all-time touchdown passing record last week against San Francisco, but that doesn't mean opposing defenses should assume the former Colt will slow down. To make matters even more ominous for Denver's foes Manning has a full compliment of weapons in tow, with Wes Welker back from his concussion problems and both Demaryius and Julius Thomas causing match-up problems wherever they line-up. The running game has been a disappointment for Denver this year and Montee Ball is currently out injured, but that hasn't stopped Manning from carving open defense after defense. Safety Eric Weddle has been a steady presence in the San Diego secondary for a number of years now and he leads the team in tackles once again in 2014, while the Chargers pass rush has been effective with the team recording 15 sacks, although no one player has more than 2.5. Brandon Flowers leads the team with two interceptions but he'll miss out with a concussion, while Manti Te'o is a capable run stopper in the middle of the field when he's been healthy - which unfortunately he hasn't been this year.
Edge: Broncos

Special Teams
Nick Novak has been nails for the Chargers this season and hasn't yet missed a kick, while punter Mike Scifres is one of the better players at his position in the league. Rookie Brandon McManus has kicked well enough for Denver that they were able to release Matt Prater, who missed the first four games of the season while serving a PED related suspension.  Neither side has gotten much out of their return games.
Edge: Even

Injury Report
Flowers and Te'o are definitely out for San Diego, while cornerback and first round pick Jason Verrett is also questionable to play. Montee Ball is out for the Broncos, while kicker Brandon McManus is probable with a groin strain.

Prediction
Chargers 20, Broncos 35

Week 7 NFL Predictions

Colin Kaepernick will have his handful against the revamped Broncos defense on Sunday night

Week seven of the NFL season is upon us, and as the play-off races begin to take shape the games have become more and more critical for the teams involved. A key divisional loss at this stage of the year can be terminal for a teams post-season aspirations, while a win can make all the difference as each of the 32 franchises jockey for position in their respective conferences. Here's what Fred Stanley Sport thinks will happen as the season nears its midpoint a we attempt to build on our 58-37-1 record when predicting games in this most unpredictable of campaigns.

Atlanta @ Baltimore
Matt Ryan and the Falcons have stuttered significantly after a fast start, while Baltimore continues to play good football and racked up an incredible 35 points after just 17 minutes of their game versus Tampa Bay in week six. A few weeks ago this might have looked like a shootout; now it looks like a comfortable win for the Ravens behind the arm of Joe Flacco and the legs of break-out running back Justin Forsett. Falcons 21, Ravens 31

Minnesota @ Buffalo
The Bills hung around against New England a week ago, but ultimately when Kyle Orton takes on Tom Brady there can only be one winner. Orton will feel a lot more confident of coming out on top against Teddy Bridgewater, who struggled for the first time in his young NFL career last week against the formidable Lions defense. Buffalo's D isn't as strong as Detroit's, but their offense is probably better (with the Lions sans Calvin Johnson), so the result should be the same. Home win.
Vikings 17, Bills 24

Miami @ Chicago
The Dolphins came this close to beating Green Bay in south Florida last week but they couldn't quite hold on against an inspired Aaron Rodgers, while Chicago earned a resounding road win over the Falcons. The Bears are probably a more rounded team than the Packers with their superior defense and running game, which spells bad news for Miami and coach Joe Philbin, who edges nearer and nearer the exit with each loss. Dolphins 18, Bears 27

New Orleans @ Detroit 
Calvin Johnson is likely out once more for Detroit, leaving Matthew Stafford without his favourite toy and almost entirely compromising the Lions offensive attack. Reggie Bush is also a doubt, so Stafford and company will be thankful that the Saints posses one of the worst defenses in football. Drew Brees hasn't looked like himself in 2014 and New Orleans nearly fell to Tampa Bay at home two weeks ago. Saints coach Sean Payton will hope that the offense has ironed out some of its kinks during the bye week, and I'm inclined to bet that they've done enough to ensure that they'll topple the Megatron-less Lions in Detroit. Saints 24, Lions 21

Carolina @ Green Bay
After drawing with Cincinnati last week the Panthers are sitting pretty atop the NFC South with a 3-2-1 record, but the most exciting thing for Carolina fans has to be the return to form of QB Cam Newton. Newton scored on the ground for the first time in 2014 last week and with the Green Bay defense looking far from stout the former Auburn man could be in for a big week against Mike McCarthy's 4-2 Packers. Aaron Rodgers will attempt to answer in kind but it's the Panthers run defense which has been terrible this year, something the Packers are unlikely to be able to take advantage of judging by their efforts on the ground so far this season.
Panthers 27, Packers 23

Cincinnati @ Indianapolis
A.J Green will miss out again for the Bengals, leaving Andy Dalton feeling much like Matthew Stafford as he attempts to muddle on without his favourite target. Mohamed Sanu has been excellent in Green's absence, it should be noted, but Andrew Luck will fancy his chances of carving up the Bengals secondary in much the same way Tom Brady did a couple of weeks ago. Both sides could put up points but it figures to be difficult for Dalton to keep pace with the formidable Indianapolis passing attack on the Lucas Oil Field turf. Bengals 21, Colts 28

Cleveland @ Jacksonville
Before you skip reading this paragraph, remember that Cleveland are actually relevant this year and this game isn't a battle between two basement dwellers for a change. Brian Hoyer has developed into a capable quarterback who doesn't make mistakes and makes enough plays with his arm to give the Browns a chance to win most weeks, while the Cleveland defense was at its stifling best versus Pittsburgh in week six. I think the Jags have a performance in them  at some point this year, but the Browns should be too strong and have too much to play for to mess this one up.
Browns 26, Jaguars 14

Seattle @ St. Louis
The defending champs take on the Rams in a must win game for both teams if they are to challenge the two teams who currently sit above them in the NFC West. With Percy Harvin now out of town the Seahawks should ride Marshawn Lynch harder than ever, while the likes of Doug Baldwin will take on a more prominent role in the passing game. Fortunately for Seattle the Rams have looked toothless on both offense and defense this year, which should result in a return to winning ways for Pete Carroll's men. Seahawks 23, Rams 17

Tennessee @ Washington
Now this is a game that has no play-off implications whatsoever in week seven. Washington are playing out the string until RG III returns, while Tennessee are playing out the string until, well, erm... you get the picture. They're not very good. The Redskins do at least have play-makers on offense in the form of Alfred Morris and DeSean Jackson, so they should walk away from FedEx Field with their second win of the season and their record sitting pretty at 2-5.
Titans 14, Redskins 27

Kansas City @ San Diego 
Chiefs coach Andy Reid has a phenomenal record after the bye week, and I fully expect that to continue against a Chargers team that has dropped off the pace in each of the past two weeks. Luckily for them they haven't faced top opposition, and while Phillip Rivers was able to lead them to victory over Oakland seven days ago he'll find things much tougher against a Kansas City outfit who have looked dangerous on offense ever since the return of Jamaal Charles from injury. Tight End Travis Kelce is also worth keeping an eye on, as he leads the Chiefs in receptions and has three touchdowns to show for the young season. Chiefs 26, Chargers 20

New York Giants @ Dallas
After being shut out by Philadelphia in week six the Giants travel to Texas for a big showdown with division rivals Dallas, who are sitting pretty at 5-1 behind the legs of DeMarco Murray. Murray has been a workhorse so far this year and with Dez Bryant helping keep the passing game afloat the Cowboys offense has variety to go with skill. To make matters worse for New York Victor Cruz is done for the year with a knee injury, while cornerback Domonique Rodgers-Cromartie is also a doubt to play this evening. The NFC East race could become a two horse contest if this one stays true to the form guide. Giants 17, Cowboys 27

Arizona @ Oakland
Cardinals QB Carson Palmer returns to one of his former teams, and it should be a happy return for the former USC signal caller as Arizona seeks to re-affirm its position as one of the top teams in the NFC. The Raiders played hard for interim coach Tony Sparano against San Diego last week but while that's admirable it shouldn't be enough to earn the win against a talented Arizona team that boasts play-maker's on both sides of the ball, not least in the form of cornerback Patrick Peterson and wide-out Michael Floyd. Cardinals 28, Raiders 19

San Francisco @ Denver
After a shaky start to the season the 49ers have improved in recent weeks, but while they have played well on defense they haven't faced an attack as potent as Denver's well oiled machine this year. Colin Kaepernick will be under the microscope and the revamped Broncos defense featuring Aqib Talib and DeMarcus Ware will be a big test for the young QB. If Kaepernick is at his best he'll keep it close; if he's not it could be lopsided as Denver proves once more that they're the class of the AFC.
49ers 24, Broncos 34

Houston @ Pittsburgh
After being walloped by Cleveland last week the Steelers should come out fired up on Monday Night Football, however they might run right into the returning Jadaveon Clowney and the unavoidable J.J Watt. The Texans haven't been outstanding in recent weeks but they have enough pieces in place to make things difficult for a dysfunctional Pittsburgh team that has several holes and several veteran players who are on the decline, not least Troy Polomalu and, perhaps, Ben Roethlisberger. With both teams 3-3 this could be the tipping point in both of their seasons; expect Houston to be the ones above .500 come Tuesday morning. Texans 21, Steelers 17

What do you think will happen in week 7? Have your say in the comments or tweet @fredjstanley
 

 

Thursday Night Football Preview: New York Jets @ New England Patriots

Tight End Rob Gronkowski has re-emerged as Tom Brady's favourite weapon

Week seven of the NFL gets underway with one of the best rivalries in the sport, an AFC East battle between Rex Ryan's 1-5 Jets and Bill Belichick's 4-2 Patriots. The Pats currently sit atop the division after they overcame Buffalo in week six, while New York are rooted to the foot of it following a well-fought defeat against Denver at Mile High Stadium four days ago. To find out what to watch for in this crucial encounter stay right here with American Football Focus.

When New York has the ball...
Geno Smith is still the Jets QB, but if he starts slow this week (as he has in almost every game this season) it would figure that Rex Ryan will insert Michael Vick at the position, especially with Ryan's job being seemingly on the line. However the Jets coach has shown an unwillingness to make a change under centre throughout his head coaching career, first with Mark Sanchez and now with the enigmatic Smith. Chris Ivory has become the dominant figure at running back for New York while former Titan Chris Johnson has faded into the background. It figures that if New York are to move the ball effectively against the Patriots they'll need to give both a healthy dose of carries, all the more so with New England middle linebacker Jerod Mayo done for the season.
Edge: New England

When New England has the ball...
As has been the case for over a decade now, as goes Tom Brady goes the Patriots offense. Running back Steven Ridley is done for the year so Shane Vereen and Brandon Bolden make-up a rather underwhelming running back tandem, making Brady and the passing game all the more critical to New England's hopes. Tim Wright has joined Rob Gronkowski as a threat from the tight end position, with the former Buccaneer recording touchdowns in each of the past two games. New York are awfully thin at cornerback and in the secondary in general, so look for Brady to light it up through the air tonight.
Edge: New England

Special Teams
Stephen Gostkowski has been one of the more reliable kickers in the league since he replaced Adam Vinatieri in New England over six years ago, and has missed just one kick this season while making all eight of his attempts from beyond 40 yards. Nick Folk has gone one better for New York and hasn't missed in 2014, although he's attempted just nine field goals to Gostkowski's 17. Neither team has a kick returner of note, although Julian Edelman has averaged a respectable 8.1 yards per punt return for New England this year.

Injury Report
Mayo and Ridley are done for the year for New England, while offensive lineman Dan Connolly and Bryan Stork both haven't practiced due to concussions sustained last week. The Jets on the other hand are in pretty good shape health wise.

Prediction
New York 17, New England 30

Week 6 NFL Predictions

Phillip Rivers stellar early season play has seen him emerge as a potential MVP candidate

The sixth Sunday of the NFL season is upon us and it's becoming clearer and clearer who the teams to beat in each of the eight divisions are. There are, however, some teams who have done well to reverse poor starts, while others have fallen off slightly after setting a blistering early pace. With a 49-27 record so far this year American Football Focus have been reasonably accurate when predicting the outcomes in each of the 76 games that have taken place. Will that accuracy continue through week six? Keep reading to find out.

New England @ Buffalo
Not many people expected Buffalo to be tied for the division lead in the AFC East after five weeks, but that's exactly where they are as they host the also 3-2 Patriots in upstate New York. Putting Kyle Orton in at QB ahead of E.J Manuel was the correct decision and paid dividends against Detroit last week. The Lions, however, would have won the game if it weren't for three missed Alex Henery field goals, and it's unlikely the Patriots will be as generous following their thumping of Cincinnati in week five. Patriots 24, Bill 16

Carolina @ Cincinnati
The Panthers showed great resiliency to overcome a large deficit against Chicago last week, yet their flaws (namely a lack of a running game and a weakness against the run on defense) should make it very difficult for them to beat a good Bengals team. Cincy were terrible against New England in their last game and A.J Green is unlikely to play with a toe injury; nonetheless they're the better team here especially with Cam Newton still struggling to be effective due to his rib injury.
Panthers 17, Bengals 23

Pittsburgh @ Cleveland
The 3-2 Steelers take on the 2-2 Browns in Cleveland, with the AFC North all of a sudden looking like one of the NFL's most competitive divisions. Brian Hoyer has kept Johnny Manziel off the field and out of the news with a string of stellar performances, and he'll need to be on top of his game against Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers if he's to lead the Browns to victory this evening. Unfortunately for Hoyer and Cleveland, I can't see their defense doing enough to stop what has become a balanced and effective Pittsburgh offense and giving Hoyer a chance.
Steelers 30, Browns 21

Green Bay @ Miami
Dolphins head coach Joe Philbin faces his former employers in a game that could go a long way to deciding his future in Miami. With their record sitting at an even 2-2 a win would propel them into the AFC East title race, while defeat would increase the distance between them and the division front runners. It'll be defeat against the prolific Packers, and a step closer to the exit for Philbin.
Packers 31, Dolphins 20

Detroit @ Minnesota
Teddy Bridgewater has looked good since he was handed the reins to the Vikings offense, instantly becoming a threat with both his arm and his legs. He'll be up against a fearsome Lions front four, however, and the lack of a running game in Minnesota is concerning. Calvin Johnson probably won't play for Detroit which will force Matthew Stafford to spread the ball around a bit more than he'd like, but still expect the Lions to overcome their NFC North foes and progress to 4-2.
Lions 19, Vikings 16

Denver @ New York Jets
When you're a head coach under severe pressure, as Rex Ryan is, the last thing you want to do is face Peyton Manning. Unfortunately for Ryan and the Jets that's exactly what they'll have to do this evening, and the result won't be pretty. Brett Favre's all-time touchdown passes record could be under severe pressure by the end of this one; as could Ryan's job security. Broncos 34, Jets 14

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay have played a lot better since Mike Glennon took over the quarterback job from the injured Josh McCown, but will that be enough against the Joe Flacco led Ravens? Probably not, especially with Justin Forsett getting it done at running back and Steve Smith enjoying a career resurgence at wide receiver. Ravens 27, Buccaneers 20

Jacksonville @ Tennessee
These two teams have a combined one win between them heading into this match-up; thankfully that total will have doubled by the end of the 60 minutes they'll play in Nashville. With both sides struggling to move the ball and neither defense looking capable of stopping all but the worst attacks, who knows what will transpire in the battle of AFC South doormats. My guess? The Jaguars get in the win column for the first time in 2014. Jaguars 21, Titans 18

San Diego @ Oakland
If Jacksonville and Tennessee are two of the worst teams in the NFL, the Raiders certainly deserve to be in that conversation. San Diego meanwhile have been excellent, led by QB Phillip Rivers who at age 32 is playing as well as he ever has. Antonio Gates has re-emerged as a top tier tight end, while Malcolm Floyd is also enjoying an Indian summer to his decorated career. Big road win, with Rivers continuing to press his case for first-half NFL MVP. Chargers 30, Raiders 16

Washington @ Arizona
Kirk Cousins and the Redskins rebounded somewhat against Seattle last week after a dire performance versus the Giants in week four, and even though they lost they'll believe they can challenge the Cardinals on the road here in week six. The Arizona quarterback situation is in flux with Carson Palmer questionable, but whether Palmer starts or not should ultimately be irrelevant as the Cardinals running game and stout defense give them the edge over the porous Washington D.
Redskins 20, Cardinals 28

Chicago @ Atlanta
Both of these teams have fallen a bit flat on their face after promising starts to the season, but the Falcons offense at home gives them the edge with the Bears attack looking more and more inconsistent as the campaign wears on. Neither team has much to offer on defense, so expect a fair amount of points on the Georgia Dome turf. Bears 27, Falcons 35

Dallas @ Seattle
As well as the Cowboys have played in recent weeks, almost no one goes to Seattle and comes away victorious. However DeMarco Murray gives Dallas at least a chance, while the battle between Dez Bryant and Richard Sherman should be fascinating to watch. The Cowboys defense has improved with each passing week but this could be their biggest test yet, with Russell Wilson playing the best football of his career and Marshawn Lynch seemingly healthy. I'm going for a predictable home win, although I think Dallas will keep it closer than many people would expect.
Cowboys 23, Seahawks 27

New York Giants @ Philadelphia
Sunday Night Football sees a clash of two NFC East titans, with the 4-1 Eagles welcoming the 3-2 Giants to town. Eli Manning will fancy his chances of lighting up the terrible Philadelphia secondary, while Eagles RB LeSean McCoy could have his first breakout game of the season against the questionable Giants run defense. Even though the Eagles have the better record I'm not sure they're the better team, which could see New York even their record with Philly's by this time tomorrow morning. Giants 30, Eagles 21

San Francisco @ St. Louis
The 49ers have saved their season somewhat in the past couple of weeks amid talk of anarchy in the dressing room over the way head coach Jim Harbaugh is running the San Francisco ship. Harbaugh shouldn't face too many difficult questions next week if form holds true and the Rams crumble under the weight of the 49ers potentially explosive offense. Colin Kaepernick has come into form in recent weeks and with the St. Louis defense struggling to contain anyone this year it could be a long day for Jeff Fisher's men on Monday Night Football. 49ers 33, Rams 16

What do you think will happen in week six of the NFL season? Have your say in the comments or tweet @fredjstanley

Thursday Night Football: Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans

Colts receiver Reggie Wayne is QB Andrew Luck's favourite target

There's a battle brewing in Houston tonight between the surging Colts and the surprising Texans, who currently are tied for the lead in the division with 3-2 records. Here's all you need to know as the season enters its middle portion.

When Indianapolis has the ball...
Andrew Luck is the beginning, middle and end of the Indianapolis offense and although he is unable to call on much of a rushing attack he's still been able to operate a high powered unit so far in 2014. T.Y Hilton and Reggie Wayne are useful weapons on the outside and the offensive line is much improved from last season, which makes the Colts attack one to be feared. Houston are without Jadaveon Clowney, who's still injured, but with J.J Watt on the line they still have one of the league's better defensive units. Edge: Colts

When Houston has the ball...
Ryan Fitzpatrick has done an adequate job leading the Texans passing attack, but the star of the offensive show for Houston has really been wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins has surpassed Andre Johnson as the Texans leading wide-out and if the Colts want to stop Houston's offense they'd do well to start with containing Hopkins. Arian Foster remains a decent option on the ground, so the Texans have a balanced attack in their favour. Edge: Even

Special Teams
Randy Bullock has been solid so far this season for Houston, missing just one of ten field goal attempts in 2014. Adam Vinatieri has gone one better for Indianapolis, making all ten of his kicks this year. Edge: Colts

Injury Report
Clowney has already been ruled out for Houston, while wide receiver Andre Johnson is questionable with an ankle injury. Indianapolis are almost entirely healthy with the exception of Robert Mathis who is already on injured reserve.

Prediction
Colts 26, Texans 17

Week 5 NFL Predictions

Earl Thomas leads the Seattle defense into Washington to take on the 1-3 Redskins

It's that time of the week again where American Football Focus attempts to predict the correct results in the weekends slate of NFL games. Our record currently sits at 38-23, and we'll look to build on that positive record in week five of the current season. Without further ado, here are our picks for the fourteen remaining games this weekend.

Chicago @ Carolina
The Bears travel to Carolina for a must-win game for both sides. Both are 2-2 in the early going and both squads contain key players who have been hobbled through injury, limiting their effectiveness. Cam Newton hasn't been himself this year and has battled through a rib injury, while Chicago wide receivers Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery have both been restricted in recent weeks. Neither defense has been good in 2014, but I think the Bears offense is more explosive than the Panthers so I'm going for a road win here. Bears 27, Panthers 20

Houston @ Dallas
Both of these teams own surprising 3-1 record through four weeks, with the Texans benefiting from strong defensive play while Dallas have enjoyed the best four game stretch of running back DeMarco Murray's career. In this lone star state battle the real difference could be the quarterbacks, and Tony Romo gives the Cowboys a significant edge. Home win. Texans 17, Cowboys 28

Buffalo @ Detroit
Has the Bills bubble finally burst after their fast start to the season? Their loss against Houston last week was disappointing to say the least and led to the removal of E.J Manuel as the team's starting quarterback. Detroit meanwhile have enjoyed a 3-1 start to the season and they're looking like the class of the NFC North, although Calvin Johnson's ankle remains a concern. Nonetheless the Lions should have no problem handling the Bills at home, especially with Johnson likely to be in better shape then he was last week. Bills 14, Lions 27

Baltimore @ Indianapolis
These two great rivals square off at Lucas Oil Stadium in a tasty encounter, with the Raves sneaking under the radar somewhat so far this year with a 3-1 record. Andrew Luck has been lights out for the Colts but the rest of his team needs some work, particularly the defense, which could get shredded by Joe Flacco and the resurgent Steve Smith Snr. It promises to be a shootout on the Indianapolis turf, with Luck again being left too much to do by his teammates. Ravens 34, Colts 31

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville
After a last minute collapse against Tampa Bay last week the Steelers find themselves in must win territory against the Jaguars in Florida, but they should be able to overcome a Jacksonville side that has regressed in recent weeks, even from their mediocre beginnings. Ben Roethlisberger will look to hook up with Antonio Brown again this evening, after the duo combined for two touchdowns in week four. Steelers 28, Jaguars 20

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans
Can the Buccaneers cause an upset for the second consecutive week? Probably not, but they have a chance against a Saints side who were obliterated in Dallas in week four. Drew Brees knows this is a game New Orleans can't afford to lose, but with the already struggling Saints D missing Jarius Byrd Mike Glennon will fancy his chances of putting points on the board for the Bucs. Home win, but it'll be tighter than most people think. Buccaneers 24, Saints 28

Atlanta @ New York Giants
Atlanta suffered a brutal loss in Minnesota last week which dropped their record to 2-2, while New York destroyed Washington to return to .500 with Eli Manning and the offense showing much improvement over the first few weeks of the season. The Giants defense has been better than expected and has been opportunistic, with their four interceptions of Redskins QB Kirk Cousins a case in point. Matt Ryan and the Falcons passing attack will test their ability, but at home the Giants could get the win that propels them into the NFC East title race. Falcons 26, Giants 27

St. Louis @  Philadelphia
The Eagles were stopped entirely on offense in San Francisco last week but they should find some respite in the Rams porous defense, which despite it's much touted pass rush has failed to generate pressure on opposing quarterbacks in 2014. The St. Louis offense has been equally poor and although the Eagles defense hasn't been playing great football this season they should be able to contain Austin Davis and the Rams impotent passing game. Rams 17, Eagles 34

Cleveland @ Tennessee
Brian Hoyer leads the Browns into the deep south in search of second win of the season following their bye week, and he should be able to do the job against a Titans team which has been disappointing this season. Tennessee were blown out by the Colts last week and while Cleveland aren't as explosive on offense their defense is much better than Indy's, which should be enough to send Ken Wisenhunt's men to their fourth defeat of the year. Browns 20, Titans 13

Arizona @ Denver
The Cardinals head to Denver to take on the Broncos in what could be the game of the week, with the stout Arizona defense coming up against the high octane, Peyton Manning led Broncos offense. Without Carson Palmer the Cardinals may struggle to keep pace with Manning however, and the Broncos are notoriously strong at Mile High Stadium. Expect a close game, but a win for the home team as the Cardinals lose their perfect record. Cardinals 16, Broncos 24

New York Jets @ San Diego
The Jets will face a battle to save their season and avoid falling to 1-4 when they play the Chargers in San Diego, with Rex Ryan battling to save his job after a poor start to the campaign. Geno Smith hasn't played well at quarterback and if he starts off cold this evening the calls for Mike Vick will grow louder from the Jets faithful. Phillip Rivers has been spectacular in the first quarter of the season and if he can continue his hot start the Chargers should have enough to overcome the Jets and their vulnerable secondary. Jets 19, Chargers 27

Kansas City @ San Francisco
The Chiefs shocked everyone with their demolition of New England on Monday night, but they'll face an uphill battle if they're to beat the 49ers in their own back yard. Colin Kaepernick showed signs of improvement against Philadelphia last week but it was the defense which really stood out, and they'll fancy their chances of keeping Jamaal Charles and the Kansas City offense quiet. It could be a low scoring affair on the west coast as Alex Smith returns to face his former employers; unfortunately for Smith I don't think it'll be a happy reunion. Chiefs 16, 49ers 20

Cincinnati @ New England
I can't believe I'm writing this, but the Bengals might be the best team in the AFC. Their defense is stifling and their offense is dangerous thanks to the Andy Dalton and A.J Green partnership. New England looked weak on MNF and their offense just doesn't have the firepower it once did, which could mean Tom Brady is in for another long night against the Cincy D. Don't rule the Pats out, but I just think the Bengals are too strong for Bill Belichick's charges. Bengals 27, Patriots 24

Seattle @ Washington
Kirk Cousins, meet the Seattle Seahawks defense. After a humiliating defeat versus the Giants things don't get any easier for the Redskins, and they're likely to see their record fall to 1-4 as they face the best team in the league. Even though Seattle aren't as strong on the road as they are at home they should win fairly comfortably here, with Russell Wilson able to take advantage of a banged up Washington secondary. Seahawks 30, Redskins 10

What do you think will happen in week five? Leave a comment or tweet @fredjstanley
 

Thursday Night Football: Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers

Jordy Nelson has emerged as Aaron Rodgers favourite target over the past couple of seasons

Week five is heralded with this NFC North battle between two teams who are 2-2 and coming off of a short week, making it all the more fascinating. The Packers, led by Aaron Rodgers, have underperformed so far during the current campaign while Minnesota will be pleased to have a .500 record after the Adrian Peterson debacle threatened to ruin their season. Keep reading to find out what you should keep an eye on during this crucial Thursday Night Football contest.

When Minnesota has the ball...
Without AP to hand the ball off to, Matt Cassel struggled in the early weeks of the year and his season ending injury gave second round draft pick Teddy Bridgewater a chance to get to grips with the NFL. However Bridgewater himself was injured last week and looks unlikely to play tonight, meaning Christian Ponder will get the call for the Vikings. Matt Asiata has handled the majority of the work in the backfield with Peterson unavailable, but despite his adequate play he has understandably, failed to replace Peterson's production. The Packers defense has struggled at times this year but in recent weeks has improved, with the pass rush looking solid and Julius Peppers beginning to repay some of the faith shown in him by Green Bay, who signed him away from Chicago in the off-season. Edge: Packers

When Green Bay has the ball...
Aaron Rodgers and co have failed to move the ball as well as they might have expected to, although Rodgers himself has played relatively well as has stud wide receiver Jordy Nelson. Eddie Lacy, however, has struggled to move the ball on the ground and if the Packers are to improve on that side of the ball they'll need Lacy to step up and create a more balanced attack. The Vikings defense has been better than expected, with the pass rush getting home frequently in large part thanks to first round pick Anthony Barr and fellow defensive end Everson Griffen. The purple people eaters have also forced five turnovers on the young season, and if they can force Rodgers into mistakes through creating pressure they may be able to create more turnover opportunities in this one.
Edge: Packers

Special Teams
Packers kicker Mason Crosby is at times erratic, but he's been solid so far this year by making all but one of his kicks including both of his attempts from beyond 50 yards. The Vikings Blair Walsh has been similarly effective; he's made more kicks than Crosby but he has also missed two from beyond the 40 yard mark. Cordarrelle Patterson gives Minnesota a dangerous threat returning kick-offs.

Injury Report
Bridgewater is questionable to play with his ankle injury for Minnesota. Jarrett Boykin is out for Green Bay, while linebacker Clay Matthews is probable to play.

Prediction
Vikings 18, Packers 30  

Week 4 NFL Predictions

Alshon Jeffery has formed a formidable partnership with fellow Bears wide receiver Brandon Marshall

Last night’s lopsided match-up between the New York Giants and Washington Redskins heralded the start of week four of the NFL season, and with the year nearing the quarter mark here’s what American Football Focus thinks will transpire across the league over the weekend, with our prediction record currently standing at 30-18.

Carolina @ Baltimore

Carolina were handled easily by Pittsburgh last weekend in a beat-down that was largely brought about by the Steelers rushing attack. Fortunately for the Panthers the Ravens aren’t nearly as prolific on the ground thanks to the suspension of Ray Rice, while Baltimore have also looked suspect on defense at times in the season’s early going. It’s  a big game between two perennial play-off teams, but with Cam Newton and the Panthers defense not quite right I’m going for a home win.  

Panthers 20, Ravens 26

Green Bay @ Chicago

After two losses in the opening three weeks Green Bay are in danger of falling out of play-off contention early doors, with their defense leaky and their offense failing to produce the amount of points they’re accustomed to putting on the board. The Bears meanwhile have looked good in getting to 2-1, with two comeback victories in the past two games. The Packers secondary really doesn’t look good and with Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery nearing full fitness it could be a long day for Aaron Rodgers and his team in the windy city.
Packers 17, Bears 28

Buffalo @ Houston

Both of these teams came crashing back to earth last week after 2-0 starts to the season, but the Bills are better equipped to bounce back with E.J Manuel at quarterback and a rushing attack that features both C.J Spiller and Fred Jackson. Houston should put up a good fight but without Jadaveon Clowney and a competent QB they could struggle to keep pace with the up-tempo Buffalo attack.  

Bills 24, Texans 14

Tennessee @ Indianapolis

Again, both of these teams have identical records at 1-2 but the Colts are clearly the superior team after their blow out of Jacksonville in week three. Andrew Luck and the offense continue to make plays even if the defense struggles, while Jake Locker and the Titans have regressed significantly since their opening weekend win over Kansas City.

Titans 19, Colts 31

Detroit @ New York Jets

Rex Ryan’s job seems like it’s in jeopardy every week, and following a comprehensive defeat on Monday night Rex is on the hot seat once again with a decision over who is starting quarterback will be looming large. Geno Smith may or may not turn it around this season but he’ll struggle in the face of a lethal Lions pass rush, while the Jets lack of talent at corner could hurt them against Megatron and Matthew Stafford. Lions 27, Jets 17

Miami @ Oakland

80,000 Londoners will turn out at Wembley Stadium to watch two poor teams face off in the first of three International Series games in 2014, although as poor as Miami have been in the past two weeks they’re still a superior side to the train wreck Raiders. It probably won’t be much of a spectacle to watch, but Miami are the better side here. Dolphins 28, Raiders 14

Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh

The woeful Buccaneers travel to the Steel City to take on a resurgent Pittsburgh team who overwhelmed Carolina last weekend. Josh McCown is out injured so Mike Glennon steps in to take his place, but it’s likely to be in a losing effort as the Steelers move to 3-1 at the quarter mark of the season behind the arm of Ben Roethlisberger. Buccaneers 16, Steelers 28

Jacksonville @ San Diego

This is a potential trap game for San Diego, who have looked good thus far this season, although not good enough to make this match-up a foregone conclusion. Jacksonville have Blake Bortles making his first ever NFL start under centre and the rookie looked good in the second half last week versus Indianapolis, and while the Jags are unlikely to win they could keep the score a lot closer than most people will have anticipated. Jaguars 17, Chargers 23

Atlanta @ Minnesota

The Teddy Bridgewater era begins in Minnesota after Matt Cassel was pronounced done for the season, but life will be tough for Bridgewater without the services of Adrian Peterson at running back. Atlanta have put up a boat load of points so far this season and with all of their key players healthy and ready to fire they should win big on the road and move to 3-1.

Falcons 34, Vikings 17

Philadelphia @ San Francisco

The Eagles are slightly fortunate to be 3-0 having fallen into deep holes in each of their first three games this season, and this road trip could be a step too far on their path to a likely NFC East title. Colin Kaepernick needs a big game to quell doubts about his ability as a passer and the porous Philly secondary could be just what the doctor ordered, while the 49ers defense is as well-equipped as most to handle the Eagles fast-paced offense.

Eagles 24, 49ers 34

New Orleans @ Dallas

Two of the NFL’s worst defences square off in Big D on Sunday night in what promises to be a high scoring affair, especially after Tony Romo rediscovered his best form against St. Louis in week three. Both teams need a win to avoid slipping to 1-3, but at home and with the better skill position players Dallas are my pick to make it back to .500.

Saints 27, Cowboys 30

New England @ Kansas City

Andy Reid has struggled throughout his career against Bill Belichick and New England, and that trend should continue on Monday night even with the Chiefs welcoming Jamaal Charles back into the fold. Alex Smith has been poor for Kansas City at QB this season and the Patriots defense is good enough to make life difficult for the former number one overall pick again this week, while Tom Brady could step it up as he seeks to take advantage of a banged up Chiefs defense. Patriots 24, Chiefs 13

What do you think will happen in week four of the NFL season? Have your say in the comments or tweet @fredjstanley